L’École des cotes

AEK Athens v Olympiakos Piraeus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 16:30 UTC

Score final : AEK Athens 1–1 Olympiakos Piraeus

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AEK Athens (Local)

Prévision 29.97%3.34cote équitable
EV -0.798%
Avantage -0.241%
Kelly -0.345%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.78%29.98%29.98%31.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.002.953.3135.71%33.28%33.90%30.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Olympiakos Piraeus (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.22%2.55cote équitable
EV -5.09%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -3.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.46%39.28%39.16%41.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.332.352.4247.62%42.91%42.55%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.81%3.25cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.439%
Kelly -0.638%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.92%30.74%30.86%32.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.033.003.2036.36%32.96%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV -0.798%E -0.241%K -0.345%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -5.09%E -2.10%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.10%E -0.333%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -2.60%E -0.799%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -5.09%E -2.10%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -9.41%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:40
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -2.60%E -0.799%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -5.09%E -2.10%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -9.41%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:40
Suprabets3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -3.20%E -0.989%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.13%EV -6.27%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.92%EV -9.72%E -3.32%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:37
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.38%EV -4.39%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.24%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 29.07%EV -6.19%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.08%EV -10.97%E -4.83%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -9.11%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 06:51
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:38
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 06:50
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:39
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -7.05%E -2.98%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -11.57%E -4.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 06:55
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.40%E -0.439%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 06:55
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:05
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:05
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:06
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -17.64%E -8.40%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:46
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 07:10
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.14%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.61%EV -14.90%E -6.86%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.26%EV -15.27%E -5.55%K -8.73%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 06:50
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -9.01%E -3.89%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:46
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -9.01%E -3.89%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -9.01%E -3.89%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:50
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:09
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 06:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -15.68%E -7.29%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 06:50
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 06:55
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -10.58%E -4.64%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 16:50
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 06:50
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.05%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.48%EV -15.27%E -5.55%K -8.73%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.99%E -4.87%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:50
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.99%E -4.87%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:50
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -16.08%E -5.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.37%EV -12.54%E -5.62%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-13 16:50
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -16.08%E -5.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.72%E -6.24%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-17 06:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 29.00%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98%-0.1%2026-05-17 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40