La escuela de los momios

AEK Athens v Olympiakos Piraeus

Inicio: 2026-05-17 16:30 UTC

Final: AEK Athens 1–1 Olympiakos Piraeus

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AEK Athens (Local)

Predicción 29.97%3.34momio equitativo
EV -0.798%
Ventaja -0.241%
Kelly -0.345%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.78%29.98%29.98%31.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.002.953.3135.71%33.28%33.90%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Olympiakos Piraeus (Visitante)

Predicción 39.22%2.55momio equitativo
EV -5.09%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -3.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.46%39.28%39.16%41.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.332.352.4247.62%42.91%42.55%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.81%3.25momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.439%
Kelly -0.638%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.92%30.74%30.86%32.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.033.003.2036.36%32.96%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV -0.798%E -0.241%K -0.345%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -5.09%E -2.10%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.10%E -0.333%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -2.60%E -0.799%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -5.09%E -2.10%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -9.41%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:40
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -2.60%E -0.799%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -5.09%E -2.10%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -9.41%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:40
Suprabets3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -3.20%E -0.989%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.13%EV -6.27%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.92%EV -9.72%E -3.32%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:37
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.38%EV -4.39%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.24%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 29.07%EV -6.19%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.08%EV -10.97%E -4.83%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -9.11%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 06:51
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:38
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 06:50
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:39
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -7.05%E -2.98%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -11.57%E -4.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 06:55
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.40%E -0.439%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 06:55
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:05
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:05
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:06
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -17.64%E -8.40%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:46
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 07:10
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.14%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.61%EV -14.90%E -6.86%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.26%EV -15.27%E -5.55%K -8.73%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 06:50
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -9.01%E -3.89%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:46
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -9.01%E -3.89%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -9.01%E -3.89%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:50
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:09
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 06:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -15.68%E -7.29%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 06:50
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 06:55
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -10.58%E -4.64%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 16:50
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 06:50
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.05%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.48%EV -15.27%E -5.55%K -8.73%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.99%E -4.87%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:50
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.99%E -4.87%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.76%E -5.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:50
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -16.08%E -5.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.37%EV -12.54%E -5.62%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-13 16:50
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -16.08%E -5.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.72%E -6.24%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-17 06:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 29.00%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98%-0.1%2026-05-17 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40