Language:English
AEK Athens v OFI Crete
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEK Athens (Local)
Prediction 73.91%1.35fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -3.61%
Kelly -16.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.61%73.86%73.75%75.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.241.251.2985.47%80.43%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
OFI Crete (Visit)
Prediction 9.60%10.41fair odd
EV +5.64%
Edge +0.512%
Kelly +0.564%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%9.60%9.79%11.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.6610.0011.0012.50%10.36%10.00%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.49%6.07fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.181%
Kelly -0.217%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.34%16.54%16.46%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.475.506.0020.00%18.27%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEK Athens (Local): 73.91%; OFI Crete (Visit): 9.60%; Draw: 16.49%. For OFI Crete (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.41. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -6.13%E -4.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.64%E +0.512%K +0.564%G +0.032% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -5.21%E -0.906%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.87%EV -6.13%E -4.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 10.99I 9.10%NM 8.65%EV +5.54%E +0.504%K +0.555%G +0.031% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.48%EV -4.88%E -0.845%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.87%EV -6.13%E -4.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 10.99I 9.10%NM 8.65%EV +5.54%E +0.504%K +0.555%G +0.031% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.48%EV -4.88%E -0.845%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -6.87%E -5.45%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +0.836%E +0.080%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -6.87%E -5.45%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +0.836%E +0.080%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -6.87%E -5.45%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +0.836%E +0.080%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -6.87%E -5.45%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +0.836%E +0.080%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -6.87%E -5.45%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +0.836%E +0.080%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -6.87%E -5.45%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +0.836%E +0.080%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -6.87%E -5.45%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +0.836%E +0.080%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -6.87%E -5.45%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +0.836%E +0.080%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.836%E +0.080%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.21%E -0.906%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 16:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -8.35%E -6.73%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +0.836%E +0.080%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -2.73%E -0.464%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV +0.836%E +0.080%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.33%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.06%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.26%EV -3.01%E -0.298%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.68%EV -12.79%E -2.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.13%E -4.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -3.97%E -0.397%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.21%E -0.906%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -3.97%E -0.397%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -4.38%E -0.756%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -3.97%E -0.397%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -4.38%E -0.756%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.97%E -0.397%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.33%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.83%E -8.06%K -44.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -3.97%E -0.397%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.09%E -0.181%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -8.35%E -6.73%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -3.97%E -0.397%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -9.33%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -9.83%E -8.06%K -44.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -3.97%E -0.397%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -6.03%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -3.97%E -0.397%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -3.97%E -0.397%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -3.97%E -0.397%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -3.97%E -0.397%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.55%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.43%EV -6.37%E -0.653%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -10.98%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 16:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -4.65%E -3.61%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -8.77%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -5.21%E -0.906%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.13%E -4.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -8.77%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -5.21%E -0.906%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.13%E -4.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.77%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.33%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -8.35%E -6.73%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -8.77%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -13.45%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -11.31%E -9.42%K -56.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -8.77%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -9.33%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 15:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -11.31%E -9.42%K -56.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -8.77%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -9.33%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.53%EV -10.57%E -8.73%K -50.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -8.77%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -14.27%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.83%EV -9.73%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -6.03%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.84%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.82%EV -9.73%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.34%EV -6.86%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.57%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.21%E -0.906%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.26%EV -10.57%E -8.73%K -50.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -13.57%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -13.45%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.26%EV -10.57%E -8.73%K -50.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -13.57%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -13.45%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -9.83%E -8.06%K -44.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -13.57%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-10 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.56%EV -13.52%E -11.56%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -13.57%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.88%EV -15.92%E -3.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.81%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.34%EV -15.49%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -10.98%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.22%EV -11.31%E -9.42%K -56.53%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.04%EV -15.97%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -13.45%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-10 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -18.37%E -2.16%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.45%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -18.37%E -2.16%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.45%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -18.37%E -2.16%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.45%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -18.37%E -2.16%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.45%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 72.97%EV -13.52%E -11.56%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.29%EV -20.29%E -2.44%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.74%EV -15.92%E -3.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-10 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.06%EV -8.35%E -6.73%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -23.17%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -4.38%E -0.756%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.60%EV -9.09%E -7.39%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.16%EV -23.17%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -9.33%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.83%E -8.06%K -44.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -23.17%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-10 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.64% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.64% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.64% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.49% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |