Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AEK Athens v OFI Crete

2026-10-10 16:30 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AEK Athens (Local)

Prediction 76.01%1.32fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -4.64%
Kelly -23.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.91%76.12%76.07%78.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.211.221.2488.50%82.98%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

OFI Crete (Visit)

Prediction 8.61%11.61fair odd
EV +11.97%
Edge +0.921%
Kelly +0.997%
Growth +0.119%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.33%8.59%8.50%10.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.4010.6511.0013.0011.90%9.39%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.38%6.50fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +0.452%
Kelly +0.531%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 6.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.73%15.29%15.43%17.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.945.956.7020.41%16.85%16.81%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AEK Athens (Local): 76.01%; OFI Crete (Visit): 8.61%; Draw: 15.38%. For OFI Crete (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.61. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 13.00, producing a positive expected value of +11.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -6.51%E -5.29%K -28.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +11.97%E +0.921%K +0.997%G +0.119%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -3.89%E -0.623%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.79%E -7.32%K -43.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +3.36%E +0.280%K +0.305%G +0.010%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-05 07:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -11.07%E -9.46%K -65.11%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +3.36%E +0.280%K +0.305%G +0.010%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.73%EV +3.03%E +0.452%K +0.531%G +0.016%8.7%2026-09-29 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -9.55%E -8.02%K -50.25%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV +3.36%E +0.280%K +0.305%G +0.010%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-01 12:35
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.31%E -8.74%K -57.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +3.36%E +0.280%K +0.305%G +0.010%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 12:34
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -0.950%E -0.083%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -3.89%E -0.623%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -0.950%E -0.083%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -3.89%E -0.623%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 22:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -0.950%E -0.083%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -3.89%E -0.623%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 22:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -0.950%E -0.083%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -3.89%E -0.623%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -0.950%E -0.083%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -3.89%E -0.623%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 22:01
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -0.950%E -0.083%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -3.89%E -0.623%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 22:04
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -0.950%E -0.083%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -3.89%E -0.623%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 22:05
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -0.950%E -0.083%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -3.89%E -0.623%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 22:14
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.66%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV -0.950%E -0.083%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.21%EV -5.43%E -0.883%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 17:19
Suprabets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.80%EV -8.03%E -6.63%K -38.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -5.26%E -0.478%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.75%EV -3.12%E -0.496%K -0.589%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 17:08
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -5.26%E -0.478%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-01 09:30
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.79%E -7.32%K -43.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -5.26%E -0.478%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -0.049%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-30 17:05
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.99%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -5.26%E -0.478%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.58%EV -8.51%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-05 12:41
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -5.26%E -0.478%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -10.81%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 09:20
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.26%E -0.478%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-01 09:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.26%E -0.478%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-01 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.26%E -0.478%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-01 09:19
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.73%EV -8.03%E -6.63%K -38.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.26%E -0.478%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 19:20
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -5.26%E -0.478%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.43%E -2.80%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-01 12:35
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -10.31%E -8.74%K -57.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -5.26%E -0.478%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-01 12:34
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%10.97I 9.12%NM 8.55%EV -5.52%E -0.503%K -0.553%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.60%EV -1.28%E -0.199%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 20:50
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -5.75%E -4.64%K -23.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -9.56%E -0.911%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -0.049%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 07:55
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.59%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -9.56%E -0.911%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -9.27%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-05 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -9.56%E -0.911%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-05 12:41
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -11.07%E -9.46%K -65.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.47%EV -9.56%E -0.911%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-03 22:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -11.07%E -9.46%K -65.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.47%EV -9.56%E -0.911%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-03 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -11.07%E -9.46%K -65.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.47%EV -9.56%E -0.911%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-03 22:01
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.03%E -6.63%K -38.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -13.87%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-05 12:48
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.21%EV -8.03%E -6.63%K -38.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -13.87%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -10.81%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 12:45
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -8.79%E -7.32%K -43.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -13.87%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -15.43%E -2.80%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-30 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 75.85%EV -14.11%E -12.49%K -108.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.57%EV -13.87%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -15.43%E -2.80%K -3.43%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-05 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -10.31%E -8.74%K -57.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -18.18%E -1.91%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.43%E -2.80%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-05 12:40
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -22.48%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-05 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -22.48%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-05 07:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -22.48%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-05 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -22.48%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.58%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-05 08:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -9.55%E -8.02%K -50.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -22.48%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-05 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.30%EV -10.31%E -8.74%K -57.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -26.79%E -3.15%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.38%EV -12.35%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-05 12:40
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.01%EV -8.79%E -7.32%K -43.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -26.79%E -3.15%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -19.27%E -3.67%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-01 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 72.91%EV -12.59%E -10.95%K -83.92%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 9.98%EV -27.65%E -3.29%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.11%EV -24.65%E -5.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%19.3%2026-10-05 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.17I 85.47%NM 73.40%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.76%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.84%16.4%2026-10-05 12:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.83%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.94%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.23%168.7%2026-10-05 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.83%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.94%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.23%168.7%2026-10-05 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 33.63%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.44%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.94%172.8%2026-10-05 13:35