Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AEK Athens v Levadiakos

2026-11-08 15:00 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AEK Athens (Local)

Prediction 82.27%1.22fair odd
EV -6.21%
Edge -5.45%
Kelly -44.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.17%82.08%82.27%84.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.31%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levadiakos (Visit)

Prediction 5.45%18.34fair odd
EV +58.15%
Edge +2.01%
Kelly +2.08%
Growth +1.21%

assuming max odds 29.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.23%5.27%5.45%7.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5018.6816.5029.008.70%5.35%6.06%3.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.28%8.14fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -0.625%
Kelly -0.717%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.76%12.65%12.28%13.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.227.507.7516.00%13.85%13.33%12.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AEK Athens (Local): 82.27%; Levadiakos (Visit): 5.45%; Draw: 12.28%. For Levadiakos (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.34. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 29.00, producing a positive expected value of +58.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.30%EV -8.68%E -7.82%K -78.93%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +58.15%E +2.01%K +2.08%G +1.21%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -7.91%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 15:40
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.30%EV -8.68%E -7.82%K -78.93%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +58.15%E +2.01%K +2.08%G +1.21%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -7.91%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.30%EV -8.68%E -7.82%K -78.93%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +58.15%E +2.01%K +2.08%G +1.21%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -7.91%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 15:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.30%EV -8.68%E -7.82%K -78.93%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +58.15%E +2.01%K +2.08%G +1.21%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -7.91%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 15:40
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.42%EV -6.21%E -5.45%K -44.39%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -1.84%E -0.102%K -0.108%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.36%EV -6.68%E -0.879%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-19 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.87%EV -9.51%E -8.64%K -95.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.36%EV -7.29%E -0.429%K -0.456%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.76%EV -4.84%E -0.625%K -0.717%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-19 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.55%EV -9.51%E -8.64%K -95.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -7.29%E -0.429%K -0.456%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -7.91%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-19 15:45
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -7.86%E -7.02%K -65.50%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.59%EV -10.02%E -0.607%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.13%EV -6.68%E -0.879%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 15:10
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -7.86%E -7.02%K -65.50%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.59%EV -10.02%E -0.607%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.13%EV -6.68%E -0.879%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.28%EV -9.51%E -8.64%K -95.05%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV -12.74%E -0.796%K -0.850%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -7.91%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-19 15:41
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 79.73%EV -11.15%E -10.32%K -139.38%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 6.50%EV -27.74%E -2.09%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.78%EV -23.26%E -3.72%K -4.43%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-19 15:09
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -6.21%E -5.45%K -44.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -29.10%E -2.24%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -20.19%E -3.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-19 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 79.33%EV -9.51%E -8.64%K -95.05%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.71%EV -29.10%E -2.24%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.96%EV -23.26%E -3.72%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-19 15:41
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.46%EV -10.33%E -9.48%K -114.76%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV -31.83%E -2.55%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -14.05%E -2.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-19 15:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 79.75%EV -11.15%E -10.32%K -139.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.49%EV -37.28%E -3.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.76%EV -17.12%E -2.54%K -2.98%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-19 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.