The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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AEK Athens v Levadiakos

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AEK Athens (Local)

Prediction 75.84%1.32fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -4.16%
Kelly -20.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.31%76.01%75.70%78.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.211.221.2588.50%82.84%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levadiakos (Visit)

Prediction 8.03%12.46fair odd
EV +20.43%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.298%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.09%7.93%8.05%10.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.5011.5015.0011.76%8.70%8.70%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.13%6.20fair odd
EV +0.977%
Edge +0.156%
Kelly +0.186%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 6.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.99%16.06%16.25%18.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.615.506.2622.22%17.84%18.18%15.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEK Athens (Local): 75.84%; Levadiakos (Visit): 8.03%; Draw: 16.13%. For Levadiakos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.46. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.21%EV -10.51%E -8.90%K -58.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV +20.43%E +1.36%K +1.46%G +0.298%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.64%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 14:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.70%EV -12.02%E -10.37%K -75.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV +20.43%E +1.36%K +1.46%G +0.298%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -3.22%E -0.536%K -0.643%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-08 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.01%EV -11.27%E -9.63%K -66.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.52%EV +12.40%E +0.886%K +0.954%G +0.118%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -4.83%E -0.819%K -0.986%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-08 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.13%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +4.37%E +0.336%K +0.364%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 14:50
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.92%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV +4.37%E +0.336%K +0.364%G +0.016%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.87%EV -15.48%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 14:50
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.40%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV +4.37%E +0.336%K +0.364%G +0.016%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -15.31%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-08 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.22%EV -13.54%E -11.88%K -96.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV +4.37%E +0.336%K +0.364%G +0.016%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-08 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.11%EV -5.96%E -4.80%K -24.82%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.61%EV +0.836%E +0.067%K +0.072%G +0.001%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.27%EV +0.977%E +0.156%K +0.186%G +0.002%4.6%2026-11-08 14:55
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +0.355%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.22%E -0.536%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +0.355%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.22%E -0.536%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 14:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +0.355%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.22%E -0.536%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +0.355%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.22%E -0.536%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 14:39
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +0.355%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.22%E -0.536%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 14:40
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +0.355%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.22%E -0.536%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +0.355%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.22%E -0.536%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 14:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +0.355%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.22%E -0.536%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 14:40
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.78%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.66%E -0.305%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -6.44%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.11%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV -3.66%E -0.305%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.66%E -0.305%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-08 14:40
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -3.66%E -0.305%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-08 14:39
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.81%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -3.66%E -0.305%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -15.31%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-08 14:50
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.32%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -3.66%E -0.305%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 76.63%EV -12.78%E -11.12%K -85.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.34%EV -3.66%E -0.305%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-08 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.79%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -7.67%E -0.667%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.25%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.07%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -7.67%E -0.667%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-08 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 76.76%EV -13.54%E -11.88%K -96.72%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.61%EV -7.67%E -0.667%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.63%EV -9.67%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-08 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.96%E -4.80%K -24.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.22%E -0.536%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.77%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.87%EV -12.09%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-08 14:50
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.80%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-08 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -8.99%E -7.49%K -44.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -8.99%E -7.49%K -44.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -19.35%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-08 10:20
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.81%EV -11.27%E -9.63%K -66.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-08 14:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.81%EV -11.27%E -9.63%K -66.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-08 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.81%EV -11.27%E -9.63%K -66.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-08 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.81%EV -11.27%E -9.63%K -66.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -11.28%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-08 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.22%EV -14.30%E -12.65%K -110.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.83%EV -11.69%E -1.06%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.95%EV -12.90%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-08 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.95%EV -11.27%E -9.63%K -66.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.35%EV -15.70%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.70%EV -15.31%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-08 14:54
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -19.72%E -1.97%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.22%E -0.536%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.53%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.20%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.48%EV -21.32%E -2.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.99%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.53%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.20%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.48%EV -21.32%E -2.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.99%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 14:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -23.73%E -2.50%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -6.44%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-08 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -23.73%E -2.50%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.31%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 14:50
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -23.73%E -2.50%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.31%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 14:50
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -23.73%E -2.50%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.31%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -7.47%E -6.13%K -33.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -23.73%E -2.50%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.31%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 72.31%EV -13.54%E -11.88%K -96.72%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.37%EV -29.35%E -3.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.32%EV -27.41%E -6.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%21.3%2026-11-08 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.05%EV -9.75%E -8.19%K -51.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.23%EV -31.76%E -3.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.72%EV -16.12%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-08 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.21%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.94%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85%1.0%2026-11-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.18%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.35%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.0%2026-11-08 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.18%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.35%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.0%2026-11-08 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.69%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.34%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97%1.2%2026-11-08 14:55
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.44%18.48I 5.41%NM 5.29%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%2.3%2026-11-08 14:55

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