默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AEK Athens v Iraklis FC

开赛时间: 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC

最终结果: AEK Athens 4–0 Iraklis FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AEK Athens (主队)

预测 78.38%1.28公平赔率
EV -5.94%
优势 -4.95%
Kelly -29.69%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.20

博彩公司预测分布
74.70%78.07%78.51%79.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.091.171.181.2091.74%85.25%84.75%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

Iraklis FC (客队)

预测 6.99%14.30公平赔率
EV +4.88%
优势 +0.325%
Kelly +0.348%
增长率 +0.017%

假设最高赔率为 15.00

博彩公司预测分布
6.17%7.20%6.94%9.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5013.0913.0015.0010.53%7.64%7.69%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 14.62%6.84公平赔率
EV +1.78%
优势 +0.256%
Kelly +0.299%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 6.96

博彩公司预测分布
13.75%14.73%14.55%16.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.166.206.9618.18%16.24%16.13%14.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:AEK Athens (主队):78.38%;Iraklis FC (客队):6.99%;平局:14.62%。 对于“Iraklis FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为14.30。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为15.00,对应+4.88%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +4.88%E +0.325%K +0.348%G +0.017%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -4.95%E -0.761%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 10:10
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +4.88%E +0.325%K +0.348%G +0.017%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -4.95%E -0.761%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 10:08
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +4.88%E +0.325%K +0.348%G +0.017%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -4.95%E -0.761%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 05:03
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +4.88%E +0.325%K +0.348%G +0.017%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -4.95%E -0.761%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 05:04
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +4.88%E +0.325%K +0.348%G +0.017%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +4.88%E +0.325%K +0.348%G +0.017%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +4.88%E +0.325%K +0.348%G +0.017%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 15:00
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +4.88%E +0.325%K +0.348%G +0.017%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 14:59
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.69%G +0.000%14.66I 6.82%NM 6.53%EV +2.50%E +0.170%K +0.183%G +0.005%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.75%EV +1.78%E +0.256%K +0.299%G +0.005%4.5%2026-08-22 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -9.86%E -8.57%K -65.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV -2.12%E -0.151%K -0.163%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.53%EV -8.60%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 13:15
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.24%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.70%G +0.000%13.34I 7.50%NM 6.92%EV -6.73%E -0.504%K -0.545%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 14.84%EV -9.04%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 08:35
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -9.11%E -0.701%K -0.759%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.95%E -0.761%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 04:05
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.06%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -9.11%E -0.701%K -0.759%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -9.33%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 08:34
Suprabets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.39%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -9.11%E -0.701%K -0.759%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 10:14
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -9.11%E -0.701%K -0.759%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 10:19
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -9.11%E -0.701%K -0.759%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 10:19
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -9.11%E -0.701%K -0.759%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -8.60%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 17:11
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -10.64%E -9.33%K -76.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -9.11%E -0.701%K -0.759%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 78.81%EV -14.56%E -13.36%K -161.79%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 6.87%EV -12.60%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-22 08:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.71%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -16.10%E -1.34%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -15.91%E -2.77%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.41%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -19.59%E -1.70%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -6.41%E -1.00%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 05:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.41%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -19.59%E -1.70%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -6.41%E -1.00%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 05:44
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.49%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -19.59%E -1.70%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.62%EV -9.33%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 11:54
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -23.09%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 76.28%EV -10.64%E -9.33%K -76.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91%EV -23.09%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-22 13:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -6.72%E -5.65%K -35.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -30.08%E -3.01%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.49%EV -15.18%E -2.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-17 21:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -33.58%E -3.53%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-17 21:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.40%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.92%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%1.5%2026-08-22 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.40%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.92%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%1.5%2026-08-22 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.40%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.92%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%1.5%2026-08-22 14:20
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.25%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.46%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29%1.7%2026-08-22 15:20