语言:简体中文
AEK Athens v Aris Thessaloniki
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
AEK Athens (主队)
预测 79.01%1.27公平赔率
EV -5.19%
优势 -4.32%
Kelly -25.95%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
77.30%79.01%79.01%80.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.161.171.2090.09%86.16%85.47%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Aris Thessaloniki (客队)
预测 7.28%13.73公平赔率
EV +9.25%
优势 +0.617%
Kelly +0.661%
增长率 +0.061%
假设最高赔率为 15.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.13%7.28%7.28%8.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0012.3012.0015.009.09%8.13%8.33%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 13.71%7.30公平赔率
EV -4.04%
优势 -0.578%
Kelly -0.674%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.15%13.71%13.71%14.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.006.286.257.0016.67%15.92%16.00%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：AEK Athens (主队)：79.01%；Aris Thessaloniki (客队)：7.28%；平局：13.71%。 对于“Aris Thessaloniki (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为13.73。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为15.00，对应+9.25%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.26%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +9.25%E +0.617%K +0.661%G +0.061% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.50%EV -11.58%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -9.93%E -8.71%K -70.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +9.25%E +0.617%K +0.661%G +0.061% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.04%E -0.578%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -14.32%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -14.32%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -14.32%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -14.32%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -14.32%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -14.32%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -14.32%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -14.32%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.01%EV -9.93%E -8.71%K -70.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -16.38%E -2.69%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.01%EV -9.93%E -8.71%K -70.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -16.38%E -2.69%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.01%EV -9.93%E -8.71%K -70.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -12.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -16.38%E -2.69%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 78.03%EV -12.30%E -11.08%K -111.82%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.53%EV -16.24%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.44%EV -17.75%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-21 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -19.88%E -1.81%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 05:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。