The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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AE Kifisia FC v Panserraikos FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AE Kifisia FC (Local)

Prediction 58.68%1.70fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -6.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.76%58.54%58.72%60.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.571.571.6368.97%63.89%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panserraikos FC (Visit)

Prediction 16.52%6.05fair odd
EV +0.747%
Edge +0.122%
Kelly +0.147%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.18%16.57%16.56%17.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.535.506.1020.41%18.08%18.18%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd
EV -0.790%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.263%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%24.89%24.71%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.654.0029.41%27.27%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AE Kifisia FC (Local): 58.68%; Panserraikos FC (Visit): 16.52%; Draw: 24.80%. For Panserraikos FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.747%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.60%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.73%EV +0.747%E +0.122%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.67%EV -3.52%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.80%EV -4.35%E -2.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.904%E -0.151%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.80%EV -4.35%E -2.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.904%E -0.151%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 12:49
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.904%E -0.151%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -4.51%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -0.904%E -0.151%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 12:44
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -10.22%E -6.68%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.904%E -0.151%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 12:44
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -10.22%E -6.68%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -0.904%E -0.151%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 12:44
Suprabets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -2.56%E -0.433%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.03%E -0.875%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 12:39
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -5.03%E -0.875%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 12:39
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.51%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.51%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.51%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.51%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.28%E -4.61%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -9.16%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 12:39
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -6.70%E -4.21%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.16%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 12:39
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.16%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 12:39
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.16%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.16%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 12:40
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.16%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.16%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.16%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 12:49
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.58%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.04%EV -9.33%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -0.790%E -0.197%K -0.263%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -11.98%E -7.99%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -10.81%E -2.00%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 12:38
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -13.29%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -13.29%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -13.29%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:40
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -13.29%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -13.29%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:40
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.91%EV -11.98%E -7.99%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.55%EV -13.29%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.67%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-04 12:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -14.12%E -2.71%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -4.51%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -11.39%E -7.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -14.12%E -2.71%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-04 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.27%EV -14.91%E -10.28%K -33.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.85%EV -15.77%E -3.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 12:49
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -17.42%E -3.48%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 12:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.92%EV -10.80%E -7.11%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -19.07%E -3.89%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.71%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-04 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.71%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-04 12:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.71%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-04 12:44
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.40%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-04-04 12:49
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.23%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%2.9%2026-04-04 12:30