Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AE Kifisia FC v Panetolikos Agrinio

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC

Final: AE Kifisia FC 2–0 Panetolikos Agrinio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AE Kifisia FC (Local)

Prediction 49.36%2.03fair odd
EV -5.23%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -5.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.22%49.55%49.31%52.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.861.851.9258.82%53.89%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit)

Prediction 22.71%4.40fair odd
EV +0.400%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.117%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.92%22.58%22.62%23.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.014.004.4227.78%24.97%25.00%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.903%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%27.87%28.08%28.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.303.5033.33%30.49%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AE Kifisia FC (Local): 49.36%; Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit): 22.71%; Draw: 27.93%. For Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.400%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -5.23%E -2.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.75%EV +0.400%E +0.090%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.19%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.055%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.055%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -0.055%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.63%E -7.14%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -0.055%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 17:05
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -9.18%E -4.99%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.28%EV -0.282%E -0.064%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.96%EV -6.73%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.37%EV -9.18%E -4.99%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -2.33%E -0.541%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 13:48
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.60%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.26%E -0.645%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.72%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.60%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 13:19
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -11.15%E -6.20%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -4.60%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-11 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -11.15%E -6.20%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -4.60%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-11 13:49
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 13:19
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 13:18
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -6.71%E -3.55%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 04:09
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 13:39
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 13:40
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.90%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.94%EV -8.00%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 13:34
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.72%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 06:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.72%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -7.21%E -3.83%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.67%E -5.29%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 08:54
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -9.18%E -4.99%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 08:55
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -10.17%E -5.59%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 08:54
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 13:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 13:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.23%E -2.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.23%E -2.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.23%E -2.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 13:49
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.23%E -2.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 13:49
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.23%E -2.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 13:49
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.23%E -2.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.23%E -2.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.23%E -2.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -11.41%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 13:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.14%EV -13.62%E -7.78%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.61%EV -11.87%E -3.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.25%EV -10.08%E -3.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-11 13:32
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -8.19%E -4.40%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:34
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -13.68%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 06:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -13.68%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 06:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -13.68%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -13.68%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 06:20
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -11.15%E -6.20%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -13.68%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-11 13:15
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.22%EV -11.15%E -6.20%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -13.68%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -16.22%E -5.41%K -8.11%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-11 13:38
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.16%EV -13.62%E -7.78%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -13.68%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.20%EV -14.82%E -4.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-11 13:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.33%EV -16.09%E -9.46%K -22.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.51%EV -13.68%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -12.03%E -3.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-11 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.82%EV -9.18%E -4.99%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -14.82%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -9.67%E -5.29%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.82%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -9.67%E -5.29%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.82%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -9.67%E -5.29%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.82%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.48%EV -12.63%E -7.14%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -18.23%E -5.06%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-11 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11%0.2%2026-10-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11%0.2%2026-10-11 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.5%2026-10-11 13:50
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.78%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-10-11 13:25
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-10-11 13:55