The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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AE Kifisia FC v Atromitos Athens

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 16:00 UTC

Final: AE Kifisia FC 0–3 Atromitos Athens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AE Kifisia FC (Local)

Prediction 33.85%2.95fair odd
EV +2.56%
Edge +0.843%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 3.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.42%33.79%33.72%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.702.703.0340.82%37.03%37.04%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atromitos Athens (Visit)

Prediction 36.97%2.70fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.619%
Kelly -0.992%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.16%37.02%36.98%39.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.482.502.6643.86%40.38%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.18%3.43fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.76%29.19%29.31%30.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.24%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AE Kifisia FC (Local): 33.85%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 36.97%; Draw: 29.18%. For AE Kifisia FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.42%EV +2.56%E +0.843%K +1.26%G +0.032%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -8.67%E -3.51%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.03%EV -7.50%E -2.37%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 15:45
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -1.84%E -0.636%K -0.971%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.01%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -11.01%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 15:50
BetUS🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.01%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -11.01%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.71%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 15:50
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 15:50
Suprabets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.80%EV -3.50%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.34%EV -10.13%E -3.29%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 15:47
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 15:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 15:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-12 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-12 15:40
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-12 15:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-12 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -2.02%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 15:34
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -2.02%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 15:34
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 15:54
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 15:50
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 15:50
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 15:51
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 15:51
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.16%EV -9.97%E -3.75%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.16%EV -1.65%E -0.619%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -2.02%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 15:34
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -11.32%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 15:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.32%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 15:50
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -12.00%E -4.61%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-12 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 33.89%EV -12.68%E -4.91%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.35%EV -15.70%E -6.88%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-12 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -13.69%E -5.37%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 15:31
NetBet (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 34.08%EV -14.71%E -5.84%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.78%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.13%EV -16.84%E -5.91%K -9.10%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-12 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -15.38%E -6.15%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -11.01%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-12 15:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.69%EV -15.38%E -6.15%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.40%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.91%EV -15.38%E -5.30%K -8.10%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-12 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -15.38%E -6.15%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.69%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.34%EV -18.30%E -6.54%K -10.17%G +0.000%17.7%2026-05-12 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.84%EV -17.08%E -6.97%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.84%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-12 15:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-12 15:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-12 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-05-12 15:56
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-12 15:55
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-05-12 15:56