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AE Kifisia FC v Asteras Tripolis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AE Kifisia FC (Local)
Prediction 44.14%2.27fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.10%44.14%44.16%45.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.082.102.1751.81%48.10%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Asteras Tripolis (Visit)
Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.335%
Kelly -0.455%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.95%25.87%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.543.523.8030.77%28.27%28.37%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.88%3.35fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.886%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.87%29.90%29.97%31.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.023.2535.71%32.97%33.06%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AE Kifisia FC (Local): 44.14%; Asteras Tripolis (Visit): 25.98%; Draw: 29.88%. For Asteras Tripolis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.30%EV -4.23%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.37%EV -1.53%E -0.405%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -5.27%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.88%E -0.886%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.83%EV -2.05%E -0.545%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -10.95%E -3.67%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.34%EV -5.99%E -2.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.57%E -0.686%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 08:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.34%EV -5.99%E -2.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.57%E -0.686%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.32%EV -6.87%E -3.26%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.07%EV -7.06%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.27%E -0.335%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 12:43 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.37%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.37%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 12:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.37%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 12:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 06:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -13.34%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 12:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.34%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 12:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -11.73%E -5.86%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.97%E -3.87%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-18 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -11.73%E -5.86%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -15.56%E -4.79%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 06:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -11.73%E -5.86%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -16.33%E -5.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.73%E -5.86%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -16.33%E -5.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.30%EV -13.05%E -6.63%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.72%EV -9.85%E -2.84%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.98%EV -7.96%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 12:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.31%EV -14.82%E -7.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.54%EV -16.33%E -5.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.64% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |