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AE Kifisia FC v Aris Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AE Kifisia FC (Local)
Prediction 31.40%3.18fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -0.801%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.57%31.34%31.43%32.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.872.883.1337.74%34.82%34.72%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aris Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 40.44%2.47fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.713%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.73%40.48%40.46%42.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.272.302.4350.25%44.09%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.16%3.55fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.22%28.18%28.11%29.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.4033.33%30.79%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AE Kifisia FC (Local): 31.40%; Aris Thessaloniki (Visit): 40.44%; Draw: 28.16%. For AE Kifisia FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.13, with an expected value of -1.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.76%EV -1.71%E -0.545%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.62%EV -1.73%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-18 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -13.06%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 16:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-18 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 16:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -5.37%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -5.37%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 16:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-15 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-15 12:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-15 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 11:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 17:02 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.26%EV -8.61%E -3.81%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.09%EV -8.30%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.84%EV -15.08%E -7.18%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.07%EV -11.87%E -3.79%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-18 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 16:32 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 16:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 18:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-18 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-18 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-15 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 16:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 16:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 16:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 11:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 11:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -13.06%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-15 12:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.94%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 42.12%EV -19.53%E -9.81%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -15.53%E -5.18%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-10-18 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.50%EV -14.58%E -5.36%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.41%EV -14.27%E -6.73%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -14.12%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-10-18 16:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.21%E -5.63%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -13.06%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-18 16:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -15.21%E -5.63%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.79%EV -13.06%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -15.53%E -5.18%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-11 20:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.30%EV -16.78%E -6.33%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 39.63%EV -12.65%E -5.86%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%EV -14.12%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |