Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AE Kifisia FC v AEK Athens

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 18:00 UTC

Final: AE Kifisia FC 1–1 AEK Athens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AE Kifisia FC (Local)

Prediction 9.87%10.14fair odd
EV +8.52%
Edge +0.775%
Kelly +0.852%
Growth +0.073%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.43%9.88%9.89%11.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.419.5011.0012.50%10.63%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AEK Athens (Visit)

Prediction 72.10%1.39fair odd
EV -5.55%
Edge -4.24%
Kelly -17.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.73%72.11%72.10%73.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.281.281.3183.33%78.38%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.04%5.54fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.244%
Kelly +0.297%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.93%18.02%18.01%19.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.035.005.6222.22%19.88%20.00%17.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AE Kifisia FC (Local): 9.87%; AEK Athens (Visit): 72.10%; Draw: 18.04%. For AE Kifisia FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.14. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +8.52%E +0.775%K +0.852%G +0.073%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -6.27%E -4.83%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -5.30%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:40
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +8.52%E +0.775%K +0.852%G +0.073%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.80%EV -8.44%E -6.64%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -4.40%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:45
BetUS🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +8.52%E +0.775%K +0.852%G +0.073%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.02%EV -8.44%E -6.64%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 17:30
1xBet🎯10.90I 9.17%NM 8.59%EV +7.54%E +0.692%K +0.761%G +0.057%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.55%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.87%EV -10.53%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 17:50
betano_uk🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +3.59%E +0.342%K +0.378%G +0.014%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +3.59%E +0.342%K +0.378%G +0.014%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.56%EV -9.88%E -7.90%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.21%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 17:45
SportsBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV +3.59%E +0.342%K +0.378%G +0.014%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.31%EV -9.88%E -7.90%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Pinnacle🎯10.31I 9.70%NM 9.29%EV +1.72%E +0.167%K +0.184%G +0.003%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.67%EV -6.27%E -4.83%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.04%EV +1.37%E +0.244%K +0.297%G +0.004%4.4%2026-08-30 17:55
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:50
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Bet Victor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:48
Bet Right🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.56%EV -7.72%E -6.03%K -27.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -14.32%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:40
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -17.03%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 17:40
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -12.04%E -9.87%K -54.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -12.04%E -9.87%K -54.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 17:45
Bovada🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.41%EV -3.81%E -0.391%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.24%EV -8.44%E -6.64%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 17:54
Suprabets🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.61%EV -4.30%E -0.443%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -7.72%E -6.03%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -4.40%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:41
DraftKings🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -6.27%E -0.660%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -6.27%E -4.83%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.30%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -6.27%E -0.660%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -6.27%E -4.83%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -6.27%E -0.660%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.23%EV -8.44%E -6.64%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -15.22%E -3.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 17:40
BetMGM🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -11.21%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -5.55%E -4.24%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -0.794%E -0.144%K -0.176%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -11.21%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.72%E -6.03%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -0.794%E -0.144%K -0.176%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -11.21%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.72%E -6.03%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -0.794%E -0.144%K -0.176%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:55
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.21%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -5.30%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -11.21%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.98%EV -7.72%E -6.03%K -27.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -13.42%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -11.21%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -10.60%E -8.55%K -44.17%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.35%EV -12.52%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 17:34
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -16.14%E -1.90%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.27%E -4.83%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -5.30%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -16.14%E -1.90%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.33%EV -9.88%E -7.90%K -39.52%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.32%EV -17.93%E -3.94%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 10.38%EV -18.61%E -2.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 71.39%EV -13.48%E -11.24%K -67.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.23%EV -15.22%E -3.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-30 17:55
Neds🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -21.07%E -2.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -21.07%E -2.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -21.07%E -2.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.87%EV -7.72%E -6.03%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -8.01%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 17:25
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -21.07%E -2.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -7.72%E -6.03%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -21.07%E -2.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -7.72%E -6.03%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 17:25
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -21.07%E -2.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -7.00%E -5.42%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -14.32%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -21.07%E -2.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -8.44%E -6.64%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -11.62%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -21.07%E -2.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -9.88%E -7.90%K -39.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -18.83%E -4.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-30 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.94%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.64%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-30 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.94%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.64%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-30 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.0%2026-08-30 17:55
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.17%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.31%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52%1.9%2026-08-30 17:50
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.76%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.73%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.51%2.7%2026-08-30 17:30