Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden v Waldhof Mannheim

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 17:30 UTC

Final: Wehen Wiesbaden 3–3 Waldhof Mannheim

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Prediction 43.65%2.29fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.74%43.57%46.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1852.36%48.91%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Waldhof Mannheim (Visit)

Prediction 30.82%3.25fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.633%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.56%30.78%30.79%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.992.983.2037.04%33.45%33.61%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.54%3.92fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.779%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.48%25.64%27.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.543.603.8033.33%28.26%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wehen Wiesbaden (Local): 43.65%; Waldhof Mannheim (Visit): 30.82%; Draw: 25.54%. For Waldhof Mannheim (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.76%EV -4.85%E -2.22%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.07%EV -5.40%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.17%EV -3.22%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.16%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -6.59%E -3.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.79%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -6.59%E -3.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.79%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -7.47%E -3.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -4.24%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -7.47%E -3.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.35%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -7.47%E -3.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.35%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -7.47%E -3.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.35%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:20
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -7.47%E -3.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:01
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.96%E -0.779%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 17:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:20
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 17:19
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 17:10
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.25%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 17:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -13.18%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -13.18%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -13.18%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 17:05
Suprabets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.49%EV -8.77%E -4.20%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.13%EV -10.02%E -3.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.39%EV -8.58%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -1.39%E -0.435%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 17:05
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -11.25%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.18%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 17:05
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.18%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 17:10
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.18%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.18%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -15.26%E -5.55%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-19 17:16
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -15.26%E -5.55%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.18%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-19 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -16.80%E -6.22%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -13.18%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-19 17:04
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -14.01%E -7.11%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -1.39%E -0.435%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -6.79%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -14.01%E -7.11%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -2.93%E -0.931%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -14.01%E -7.11%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -2.93%E -0.931%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 16:40
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -14.01%E -7.11%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -2.93%E -0.931%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -14.45%E -7.37%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -2.93%E -0.931%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -14.45%E -7.37%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -2.93%E -0.931%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -14.45%E -7.37%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -2.93%E -0.931%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -14.45%E -7.37%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -2.93%E -0.931%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:40
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -14.45%E -7.37%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -2.93%E -0.931%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -14.45%E -7.37%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -2.93%E -0.931%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -14.45%E -7.37%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -2.93%E -0.931%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -14.45%E -7.37%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -2.93%E -0.931%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.07%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.60%EV -14.89%E -7.63%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -16.80%E -6.22%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.63%EV -20.33%E -6.51%K -9.59%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-19 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.63%E -8.71%K -18.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -13.72%E -4.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -23.39%E -7.80%K -11.70%G +0.000%21.4%2026-04-19 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-04-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-04-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-04-19 17:10