Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden v VfL Osnabrück

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

Final: Wehen Wiesbaden 2–3 VfL Osnabrück

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Prediction 31.52%3.17fair odd
EV -0.702%
Edge -0.223%
Kelly -0.326%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.40%31.50%31.70%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.932.903.1539.22%34.12%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfL Osnabrück (Visit)

Prediction 41.34%2.42fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -4.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%41.39%41.17%43.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.2848.78%45.88%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.14%3.68fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -0.884%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%27.11%27.14%28.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.303.6032.26%30.09%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wehen Wiesbaden (Local): 31.52%; VfL Osnabrück (Visit): 41.34%; Draw: 27.14%. For Wehen Wiesbaden (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -0.702%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -0.702%E -0.223%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.87%EV -5.75%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.83%EV -6.91%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -6.58%E -2.91%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -6.58%E -2.91%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:05
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 13:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:50
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:50
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:50
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -2.28%E -0.735%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 14:09
Suprabets🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.53%EV -9.47%E -4.32%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%EV -12.34%E -3.82%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:08
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 11:10
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 11:10
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.12%E -5.17%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.16%E -3.56%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.66%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:10
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.16%E -3.56%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 14:19
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -2.30%E -0.638%K -0.884%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 11:01
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.87%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 14:10
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.87%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 14:10
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.31%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 13:50
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.31%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.31%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.31%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -13.31%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 11:01
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.31%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.31%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.31%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.24%EV -13.31%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.91%EV -15.26%E -7.44%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-03 14:05
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.61%EV -19.62%E -7.69%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.56%EV -15.26%E -7.44%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -15.87%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-03 14:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-03 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-03 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-03 14:15