L’École des cotes

Wehen Wiesbaden v TSV Havelse

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Prévision 57.62%1.74cote équitable
EV -6.66%
Avantage -4.11%
Kelly -10.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.45%57.75%57.66%61.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.551.571.6267.11%64.58%63.69%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TSV Havelse (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.33%4.92cote équitable
EV +5.71%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.078%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.66%20.46%20.30%22.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.614.555.2025.00%21.69%21.98%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.05%4.54cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.311%
Kelly +0.398%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.28%21.79%22.04%24.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.144.184.6029.41%24.15%23.95%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.23%EV -13.57%E -9.05%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV +5.71%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.078%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -4.08%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 16:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -11.84%E -7.74%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -2.42%E -0.504%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 16:20
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.52%EV -8.96%E -5.67%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -3.44%E -0.723%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 16:20
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 58.74%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.20%EV -4.25%E -0.902%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -0.333%E -0.074%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:50
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.82%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -5.47%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.29%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 16:20
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.82%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -5.47%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.29%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.43%E +0.311%K +0.398%G +0.006%7.2%2026-04-08 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 16:20
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.96%E -5.67%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.52%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.52%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.43%EV -8.38%E -5.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.52%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-08 16:20
Suprabets1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.55%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 16:52
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 57.39%EV -8.96%E -5.67%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 20.66%EV -10.75%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 21.96%EV -8.93%E -2.16%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-08 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 57.39%EV -8.96%E -5.67%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 20.66%EV -10.75%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 21.96%EV -8.93%E -2.16%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 16:14
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 16:15
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-08 16:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-08 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-08 16:50
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -11.84%E -7.74%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-08 16:54
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -13.57%E -9.05%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -14.62%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-08 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.61%EV -13.57%E -9.05%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.86%EV -14.62%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -25.03%E -7.36%K -10.43%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-08 16:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.23%E -4.49%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -18.68%E -4.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -0.774%E -0.172%K -0.221%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 16:10
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -10.69%E -6.90%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -18.68%E -4.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-08 16:15
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 56.34%EV -11.84%E -7.74%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -18.68%E -4.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.10%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-08 16:55
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -13.57%E -9.05%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -18.68%E -4.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -22.82%E -6.52%K -9.13%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-08 16:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-04-08 16:50