La escuela de los momios

Wehen Wiesbaden v TSV Havelse

Inicio: 2026-04-08 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Predicción 57.62%1.74momio equitativo
EV -6.66%
Ventaja -4.11%
Kelly -10.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.45%57.75%57.66%61.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.551.571.6267.11%64.58%63.69%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

TSV Havelse (Visitante)

Predicción 20.33%4.92momio equitativo
EV +5.71%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.078%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.66%20.46%20.30%22.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.614.555.2025.00%21.69%21.98%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.05%4.54momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.311%
Kelly +0.398%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.28%21.79%22.04%24.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.144.184.6029.41%24.15%23.95%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.23%EV -13.57%E -9.05%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV +5.71%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.078%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -4.08%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 16:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -14.15%E -9.49%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV +3.68%E +0.722%K +0.898%G +0.033%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:25
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -11.84%E -7.74%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -2.42%E -0.504%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 16:20
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.52%EV -8.96%E -5.67%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -3.44%E -0.723%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 16:20
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 58.74%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.20%EV -4.25%E -0.902%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -0.333%E -0.074%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:50
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.82%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -5.47%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.29%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 16:20
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.82%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -5.47%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.29%EV -8.49%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.43%E +0.311%K +0.398%G +0.006%7.2%2026-04-08 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 16:20
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.96%E -5.67%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.52%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -2.98%E -0.677%K -0.876%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.52%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.43%EV -8.38%E -5.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.52%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-08 16:20
Suprabets1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.55%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 16:52
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 57.39%EV -8.96%E -5.67%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 20.66%EV -10.75%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 21.96%EV -8.93%E -2.16%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-08 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 57.39%EV -8.96%E -5.67%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 20.66%EV -10.75%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 21.96%EV -8.93%E -2.16%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 16:14
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 16:15
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-08 16:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-08 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-08 16:50
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -11.84%E -7.74%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -11.97%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -7.39%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-08 16:54
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -13.57%E -9.05%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -14.62%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-08 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.61%EV -13.57%E -9.05%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.86%EV -14.62%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -25.03%E -7.36%K -10.43%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-08 16:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.23%E -4.49%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -18.68%E -4.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -0.774%E -0.172%K -0.221%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 16:10
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -10.69%E -6.90%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -18.68%E -4.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -11.80%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-08 16:15
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 56.34%EV -11.84%E -7.74%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -18.68%E -4.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.10%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-08 16:55
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -13.57%E -9.05%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -18.68%E -4.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -22.82%E -6.52%K -9.13%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-08 16:48
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-04-08 16:50