The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Wehen Wiesbaden v SG Sonnenhof Großaspach

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 12:00 UTC

Final: Wehen Wiesbaden 7–1 SG Sonnenhof Großaspach

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Prediction 46.91%2.13fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.63%46.97%46.90%49.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.932.0355.56%51.95%51.81%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit)

Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV +0.780%
Edge +0.217%
Kelly +0.300%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.92%28.15%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.233.203.6034.48%30.97%31.25%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.09%3.99fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.883%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.58%25.11%24.95%26.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.623.603.8530.30%27.62%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wehen Wiesbaden (Local): 46.91%; SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit): 27.99%; Draw: 25.09%. For SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.780%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV +0.780%E +0.217%K +0.300%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 11:50
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.82%EV -4.76%E -2.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -0.619%E -0.174%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -0.619%E -0.174%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 11:53
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -10.86%E -5.72%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.74%EV -5.38%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.68%EV -11.68%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.99%E -4.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-19 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.99%E -4.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-19 12:05
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.99%E -4.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-19 12:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 12:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 12:05
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 12:05
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -9.92%E -5.17%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -3.40%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 11:45
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 11:45
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -14.15%E -7.73%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.11%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -9.02%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.02%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 11:45
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.88%EV -7.11%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -3.40%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 11:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -7.58%E -3.85%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.11%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 11:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.11%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 11:50
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 11:45
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -10.86%E -5.72%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -10.86%E -5.72%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -12.27%E -6.56%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -10.93%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-19 12:05
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -8.42%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 11:45
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 11:45
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -12.27%E -6.56%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-24 11:45
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.71%EV -13.21%E -7.14%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-24 11:45
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -16.02%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -16.02%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -16.02%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 11:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.15%EV -15.55%E -8.64%K -19.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -18.82%E -6.49%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-24 11:50
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.16%EV -15.55%E -8.64%K -19.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.65%EV -18.82%E -6.49%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.18%EV -17.20%E -5.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%20.3%2026-10-24 11:45
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.16%EV -15.55%E -8.64%K -19.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.65%EV -18.82%E -6.49%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.18%EV -17.20%E -5.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%20.3%2026-10-24 11:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-10-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-10-24 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-10-24 11:50