Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden v Rot-Weiss Essen

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 12:00 UTC

Final: Wehen Wiesbaden 0–0 Rot-Weiss Essen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Prediction 30.81%3.25fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.440%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.19%30.74%30.91%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.983.003.2037.04%33.52%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)

Prediction 44.01%2.27fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.70%44.06%43.98%45.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.1752.36%48.75%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.18%3.97fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.796%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.19%25.20%25.12%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.573.603.8531.25%28.02%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wehen Wiesbaden (Local): 30.81%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit): 44.01%; Draw: 25.18%. For Wehen Wiesbaden (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -1.41%E -0.440%K -0.640%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -2.95%E -0.936%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.21%E -5.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -2.95%E -0.936%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.21%E -5.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -2.95%E -0.936%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.21%E -5.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -2.95%E -0.936%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.21%E -5.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -2.95%E -0.936%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.21%E -5.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -2.95%E -0.936%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.21%E -5.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -2.95%E -0.936%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.21%E -5.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -2.95%E -0.936%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.21%E -5.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -2.95%E -0.936%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.21%E -5.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -2.95%E -0.936%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.21%E -5.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Pinnacle🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.14%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -4.49%E -2.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -3.82%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.49%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.55%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.55%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -3.07%E -0.796%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 11:50
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -8.45%E -4.06%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 11:10
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.62%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 11:51
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.62%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 11:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:50
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.40%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.40%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.40%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.40%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.14%EV -14.18%E -7.27%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.14%E -3.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-29 11:11
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -9.11%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 11:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 11:55
Suprabets🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.45%EV -8.01%E -3.83%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 11:50
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:50
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 11:55
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.98%E -5.99%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 11:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -14.40%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -14.40%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -14.40%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 11:45
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -11.27%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 11:10
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.27%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -11.98%E -5.99%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.27%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -11.98%E -5.99%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 11:46
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.86%E -6.49%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 11:10
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -14.18%E -7.27%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-29 11:10
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.40%EV -16.81%E -6.23%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.38%EV -15.94%E -8.34%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%18.0%2026-08-29 11:55
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 30.98%EV -16.81%E -6.23%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.89%EV -14.18%E -7.27%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.14%EV -19.43%E -6.07%K -8.83%G +0.000%19.6%2026-08-29 11:55
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 30.98%EV -16.81%E -6.23%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.89%EV -14.18%E -7.27%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.14%EV -19.43%E -6.07%K -8.83%G +0.000%19.6%2026-08-29 11:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.19%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-08-29 11:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.2%2026-08-29 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.2%2026-08-29 11:51