Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden v MSV Duisburg

2026-09-20 17:30 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

32%

42%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Prediction 32.39%3.09fair odd

EV -7.68%

Edge -2.70%

Kelly -4.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.39%32.39%32.39%32.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.852.852.852.8535.09%35.09%35.09%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

MSV Duisburg (Visit)

Prediction 41.96%2.38fair odd

EV -7.68%

Edge -3.49%

Kelly -6.40%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.96%41.96%41.96%41.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.202.202.2045.45%45.45%45.45%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.64%3.90fair odd

EV -7.68%

Edge -2.13%

Kelly -2.95%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.64%25.64%25.64%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.603.603.603.6027.78%27.78%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wehen Wiesbaden (Local): 32.39%; MSV Duisburg (Visit): 41.96%; Draw: 25.64%. For Wehen Wiesbaden (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.85, with an expected value of -7.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-13 21:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.