Language:English
Wehen Wiesbaden v MSV Duisburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)
Prediction 33.73%2.97fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.997%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.86%33.96%33.73%36.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.722.702.8840.82%36.80%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
MSV Duisburg (Visit)
Prediction 39.03%2.56fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.43%38.93%39.00%41.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.302.302.5246.73%43.46%43.48%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.535%
Kelly -0.741%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%27.11%27.27%28.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.6033.33%30.06%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wehen Wiesbaden (Local): 33.73%; MSV Duisburg (Visit): 39.03%; Draw: 27.24%. For MSV Duisburg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.52, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.87%E -0.997%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -12.96%E -5.81%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.87%E -0.997%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -12.96%E -5.81%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.87%E -0.997%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -12.96%E -5.81%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.87%E -0.997%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -12.96%E -5.81%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.87%E -0.997%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -12.96%E -5.81%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.87%E -0.997%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -12.96%E -5.81%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.87%E -0.997%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -12.96%E -5.81%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.87%E -0.997%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -12.96%E -5.81%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.87%E -0.997%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -12.96%E -5.81%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.87%E -0.997%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -12.96%E -5.81%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -3.88%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.26%EV -5.15%E -2.12%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -7.10%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.85%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.44%EV -10.62%E -4.64%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 27.71%EV -11.19%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -16.47%E -7.70%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.42%EV -7.59%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -1.64%E -0.651%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.55%EV -8.27%E -3.04%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.21%EV -3.98%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.68%EV -8.27%E -3.04%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.68%EV -8.27%E -3.04%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 33.56%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.20%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.23%EV -9.01%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.78%EV -7.89%E -3.34%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-20 16:37 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.30%E -4.30%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.46%E -3.53%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.30%E -4.30%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.46%E -3.53%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.46%E -3.53%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.46%E -3.53%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -12.31%E -4.74%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.46%E -3.53%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-20 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.31%E -4.74%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -18.27%E -6.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-20 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -14.00%E -5.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -15.55%E -5.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -15.69%E -6.27%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -1.93%E -0.535%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.13%EV -17.37%E -7.09%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.89%EV -16.08%E -7.48%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.97%EV -15.55%E -5.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-09-20 17:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.13%EV -17.37%E -7.09%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.89%EV -16.08%E -7.48%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.97%EV -15.55%E -5.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-09-20 17:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.97% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.97% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.12% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 17:20 |