The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Wehen Wiesbaden v FC Ingolstadt 04

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Prediction 40.30%2.48fair odd
EV -5.70%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.92%40.33%40.29%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.302.3447.62%44.20%43.48%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit)

Prediction 33.75%2.96fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.26%33.76%33.71%35.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.8540.00%37.73%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.499%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%25.92%25.99%28.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.513.603.8034.72%28.50%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wehen Wiesbaden (Local): 40.30%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit): 33.75%; Draw: 25.95%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.04%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.27%EV -1.40%E -0.368%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.04%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.27%EV -1.40%E -0.368%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 12:50
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.96%EV -6.10%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.48%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.32%EV -2.18%E -0.577%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 12:50
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.10%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -6.50%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -13.94%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -6.50%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -13.94%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -6.50%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -13.94%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -6.50%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -13.94%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -6.50%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -13.94%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -6.50%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -13.94%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -6.50%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -13.94%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -6.50%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -13.94%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -6.50%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -13.94%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -6.50%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -13.94%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -6.50%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -13.94%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -2.69%E -0.719%K -0.980%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:24
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:50
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.56%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 12:50
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.56%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 12:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.71%E -3.37%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 12:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:50
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 12:50
Suprabets🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.64%EV -9.73%E -4.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.22%EV -10.22%E -3.84%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.14%EV -6.07%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 12:46
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 12:41
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 12:50
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.35%E -6.21%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.37%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -13.35%E -6.21%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -16.97%E -5.30%K -7.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-28 12:25
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -15.37%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-28 12:25
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -15.37%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.43%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.78%EV -19.04%E -6.10%K -8.98%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-28 12:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 38.92%EV -15.37%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.70%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.38%EV -25.27%E -8.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%22.3%2026-02-28 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-02-28 12:50