Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden v Alemannia Aachen

Kickoff: 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC

Final: Wehen Wiesbaden 3–0 Alemannia Aachen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Prediction 42.04%2.38fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.21%42.05%41.92%43.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.182.2850.00%45.85%45.87%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alemannia Aachen (Visit)

Prediction 31.39%3.19fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.05%31.32%31.49%33.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.753.1138.46%35.69%36.36%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.457%
Kelly -0.627%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.02%26.63%26.58%28.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.443.453.7032.05%29.07%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wehen Wiesbaden (Local): 42.04%; Alemannia Aachen (Visit): 31.39%; Draw: 26.57%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 21:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 21:34
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 21:34
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 21:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 21:34
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 21:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 21:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 21:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 21:34
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.91%EV -4.57%E -2.01%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.59%EV -2.37%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -8.07%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.69%E -0.867%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.33%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-14 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.69%E -0.867%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.33%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-14 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.97%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.35%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 16:45
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.53%E -3.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.35%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 16:44
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.97%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 16:44
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.97%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 16:45
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.97%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -14.98%E -4.68%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.97%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -14.98%E -4.68%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.97%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -14.98%E -4.68%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -18.38%E -7.07%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-13 21:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -8.78%E -4.04%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.97%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-14 16:45
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -8.78%E -4.04%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.39%EV -12.42%E -4.45%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.97%EV -7.54%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.69%E -0.867%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.97%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -1.69%E -0.457%K -0.627%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-14 16:44
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.97%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.33%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 16:45
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.97%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.33%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 16:45
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.97%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 16:45
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -10.53%E -3.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.33%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-14 16:44
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.10%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-14 16:45
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-14 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-14 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-14 16:45
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-14 16:45
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%EV -10.88%E -5.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.53%E -3.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.33%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 16:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.72%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-14 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.72%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-14 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -11.72%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.79%EV -17.44%E -6.63%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-14 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 41.72%EV -12.56%E -6.04%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.75%EV -16.81%E -6.34%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-14 16:45
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -13.82%E -6.74%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.77%EV -15.24%E -5.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.39%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-14 16:45
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -15.92%E -7.96%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -17.75%E -6.78%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -17.10%E -5.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-14 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -15.92%E -7.96%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -17.75%E -6.78%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -17.10%E -5.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-14 16:52
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-10-14 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-10-14 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-10-14 16:45