La escuela de los momios

Waldhof Mannheim v Schweinfurt

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Predicción 62.74%1.59momio equitativo
EV -6.52%
Ventaja -4.38%
Kelly -13.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.80%62.95%62.66%64.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.461.481.4973.53%68.65%67.80%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Schweinfurt (Visitante)

Predicción 17.53%5.70momio equitativo
EV +5.20%
Ventaja +0.867%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.054%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.65%17.37%17.66%19.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.135.206.0022.22%19.48%19.23%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.73%5.07momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.271%
Kelly -0.339%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.35%19.68%19.67%22.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.444.405.0026.67%22.50%22.73%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -9.03%E -6.23%K -20.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +5.20%E +0.867%K +1.04%G +0.054%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.30%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:09
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -9.03%E -6.23%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV +0.817%E +0.142%K +0.172%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 23:44
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -10.91%E -7.69%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -3.57%E -0.648%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -9.25%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 11:15
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -12.17%E -8.69%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -3.57%E -0.648%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-22 23:44
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -12.17%E -8.69%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -3.57%E -0.648%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 17:55
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 63.60%EV -7.78%E -5.29%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.44%EV -6.02%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 18.96%EV -2.74%E -0.555%K -0.696%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 08:20
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -7.15%E -4.83%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -7.95%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -6.29%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.15%E -4.83%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.95%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -9.25%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:35
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:34
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:34
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:35
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:34
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:34
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:35
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:34
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:34
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:35
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -15.16%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:35
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 63.32%EV -10.29%E -7.19%K -23.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 15:01
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.70%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -8.26%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -6.52%E -4.38%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.70%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -8.26%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:50
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 62.46%EV -7.78%E -5.29%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -10.58%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 21:14
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 62.46%EV -7.78%E -5.29%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -10.58%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 21:15
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.03%E -6.23%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -1.35%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 05:40
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.86%EV -8.40%E -5.76%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.66%E -6.71%K -21.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.66%E -6.71%K -21.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 18:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.66%E -6.71%K -21.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 18:50
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.17%E -8.69%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -17.14%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-19 17:55
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.25%EV -14.68%E -10.79%K -40.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.55%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-19 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -14.68%E -10.79%K -40.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -26.02%E -6.94%K -9.46%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-19 18:08
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -8.40%E -5.76%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -15.84%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 14:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -7.15%E -4.83%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.84%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:31
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -7.15%E -4.83%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.84%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -7.15%E -4.83%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.84%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -7.15%E -4.83%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.84%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:31
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 60.81%EV -14.68%E -10.79%K -40.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 17.98%EV -19.35%E -4.21%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.21%EV -23.06%E -5.91%K -7.95%G +0.000%20.9%2026-04-24 01:03
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.18%EV -12.17%E -8.69%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%EV -21.10%E -4.69%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.78%EV -14.57%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-20 06:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.88%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.70%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%5.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.50%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%7.4%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.50%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%7.4%2026-04-24 03:35