Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waldhof Mannheim v SC Verl

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Final: Waldhof Mannheim 0–1 SC Verl

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Prediction 41.92%2.39fair odd
EV -5.68%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.42%41.93%41.89%43.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.53%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Verl (Visit)

Prediction 33.67%2.97fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.809%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%33.73%33.71%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.732.712.9041.67%36.66%36.90%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.41%4.10fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.286%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.26%24.34%24.40%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.673.604.0530.30%27.26%27.78%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 41.92%; SC Verl (Visit): 33.67%; Draw: 24.41%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.05, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.40%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.48%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 06:05
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.76%E -4.06%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.04%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 06:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -6.94%E -3.12%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.71%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.82%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -6.94%E -3.12%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.71%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.82%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.25%EV -6.94%E -3.12%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.67%EV -8.41%E -3.09%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.92%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 06:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.25%EV -6.94%E -3.12%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.67%EV -8.41%E -3.09%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.92%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 06:05
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.50%EV -4.70%E -1.66%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.41%EV -1.16%E -0.286%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -4.03%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.26%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.40%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -3.60%E -0.911%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 06:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.40%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.26%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 06:00
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -12.45%E -4.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -7.26%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 05:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -12.45%E -4.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -7.26%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 12:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -12.45%E -4.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.48%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 05:55
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.44%EV -8.61%E -3.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -9.08%E -3.36%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 12:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -8.61%E -3.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -10.76%E -4.06%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -10.92%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 06:10
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -7.40%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.26%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 06:39
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -9.08%E -3.36%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.70%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:18
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -12.45%E -4.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.26%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 05:55
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.08%E -3.36%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 11:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.08%E -3.36%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.08%E -3.36%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.08%E -3.36%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 05:55
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.08%E -3.36%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 05:54
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.08%E -3.36%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 05:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.08%E -3.36%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 05:55
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -15.81%E -6.33%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -8.48%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 05:55
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -15.81%E -6.33%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -14.58%E -4.17%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-04 05:55
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.13%E -5.25%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -2.34%E -0.809%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:10
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.13%E -5.25%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -2.34%E -0.809%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.13%E -5.25%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -2.34%E -0.809%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.13%E -5.25%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -2.34%E -0.809%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.13%E -5.25%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -2.34%E -0.809%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:10
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.13%E -5.25%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -2.34%E -0.809%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.13%E -5.25%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -2.34%E -0.809%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.13%E -5.25%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -2.34%E -0.809%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.13%E -5.25%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -2.34%E -0.809%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.13%E -5.25%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -2.34%E -0.809%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:10
Suprabets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.61%EV -12.81%E -6.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 33.57%EV -11.10%E -4.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 23.82%EV -9.21%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 06:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -14.06%E -6.86%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -5.71%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -14.58%E -4.17%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 12:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -16.16%E -8.08%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.88%EV -19.18%E -7.99%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%19.4%2026-09-02 14:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -16.16%E -8.08%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -15.81%E -6.33%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -19.46%E -5.90%K -8.46%G +0.000%20.3%2026-09-04 05:59
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -16.16%E -8.08%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -15.81%E -6.33%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -19.46%E -5.90%K -8.46%G +0.000%20.3%2026-09-04 05:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.17%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%5.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.17%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%5.9%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.17%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%5.9%2026-09-04 14:05