Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waldhof Mannheim v SC Preußen Münster

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 14:30 UTC

Final: Waldhof Mannheim 2–0 SC Preußen Münster

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Prediction 47.55%2.10fair odd
EV -5.85%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.15%47.74%47.26%50.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.941.9855.56%51.98%51.41%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Preußen Münster (Visit)

Prediction 27.61%3.62fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.284%
Kelly +0.391%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%27.39%27.83%28.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.253.6633.33%30.66%30.77%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.84%4.02fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -0.893%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.99%24.87%24.91%25.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.593.553.9230.77%27.85%28.17%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 47.55%; SC Preußen Münster (Visit): 27.61%; Draw: 24.84%. For SC Preußen Münster (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.77%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.97%EV +1.04%E +0.284%K +0.391%G +0.004%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.25%EV -2.61%E -0.665%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -11.08%E -5.93%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -0.616%E -0.171%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.10%E -0.796%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.59%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.38%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.35%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.59%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.38%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.35%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 14:19
Suprabets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.42%EV -12.51%E -6.80%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.20%EV -4.20%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.38%EV -7.33%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:13
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.61%EV -11.56%E -6.22%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.28%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 14:18
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:14
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 14:15
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 14:19
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 14:14
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 14:14
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:14
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.94%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 14:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:14
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 03:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 03:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 04:00
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 03:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 03:59
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 03:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 04:00
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 03:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 04:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 04:00
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:24
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 14:19
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -11.08%E -5.93%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 14:14
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 14:14
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 14:14
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -13.04%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -13.04%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -14.28%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 03:59
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.51%EV -12.51%E -6.80%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -14.42%E -4.65%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.28%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -12.04%E -6.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -17.18%E -5.73%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-20 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.30%EV -14.41%E -8.01%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.38%EV -17.18%E -5.73%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-20 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.43%EV -14.41%E -8.01%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -17.18%E -5.73%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -19.25%E -5.92%K -8.56%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-20 14:18
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.43%EV -14.41%E -8.01%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -17.18%E -5.73%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -19.25%E -5.92%K -8.56%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-20 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%1.8%2026-09-20 14:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%1.8%2026-09-20 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%1.8%2026-09-20 14:25