The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Waldhof Mannheim v SC Fortuna Köln

Kickoff: 2026-11-07 13:00 UTC

Final: Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 SC Fortuna Köln

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Prediction 49.66%2.01fair odd
EV -5.64%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -6.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.25%49.90%49.30%52.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.801.9058.82%55.19%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Fortuna Köln (Visit)

Prediction 24.85%4.02fair odd
EV +4.37%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.060%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.49%24.62%25.23%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.713.604.2028.99%26.95%27.78%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV +0.423%
Edge +0.107%
Kelly +0.144%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.21%25.49%25.48%26.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.603.9429.41%27.71%27.78%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 49.66%; SC Fortuna Köln (Visit): 24.85%; Draw: 25.49%. For SC Fortuna Köln (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.13%E -3.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV +4.37%E +1.04%K +1.36%G +0.060%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-07 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.13%E -3.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV +4.37%E +1.04%K +1.36%G +0.060%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-07 12:55
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.41%EV -9.61%E -5.28%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.38%EV +1.38%E +0.339%K +0.450%G +0.006%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.21%EV +0.423%E +0.107%K +0.144%G +0.001%4.8%2026-11-07 01:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -0.603%E -0.151%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-07 12:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -0.603%E -0.151%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-07 12:50
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -11.60%E -6.52%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -11.60%E -6.52%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -11.60%E -6.52%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -11.60%E -6.52%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -11.60%E -6.52%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -11.60%E -6.52%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 13:04
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -11.60%E -6.52%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 13:04
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -11.60%E -6.52%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 13:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -11.60%E -6.52%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -11.60%E -6.52%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.79%EV -15.08%E -8.82%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -6.82%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-02 13:04
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-07 12:49
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -9.61%E -5.28%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.30%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 25.54%EV -9.77%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-07 12:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.30%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-07 05:42
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -7.13%E -3.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-05 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.64%E -2.97%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-07 12:55
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -6.14%E -3.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-07 12:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.63%E -3.53%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-07 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -6.63%E -3.53%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-07 12:55
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -6.63%E -3.53%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-07 12:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-05 11:55
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-06 05:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-06 05:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-06 05:20
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-06 05:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-07 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-07 12:50
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -13.09%E -7.48%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-07 12:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -6.63%E -3.53%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-07 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.61%E -5.89%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-05 11:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.34%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-07 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.34%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-07 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.34%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-07 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.54%EV -12.10%E -6.83%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-07 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -15.57%E -9.16%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-06 07:55
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -14.27%E -4.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -9.52%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-07 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.4%2026-11-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.4%2026-11-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.4%2026-11-07 12:55

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