Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.20
assuming max odds 2.19
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 30.76%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit): 43.49%; Draw: 25.75%. For Waldhof Mannheim (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -1.55%E -0.485%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.84%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 16:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.83%EV -1.86%E -0.583%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.45%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV -8.35%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.09%E -0.981%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -6.06%E -2.81%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.09%E -0.981%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -6.06%E -2.81%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.04%EV -8.24%E -3.90%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.19%EV -14.01%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-16 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 29.75%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.55%EV -11.71%E -5.77%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 25.69%EV -9.38%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.84%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 16:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -7.80%E -3.68%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -3.46%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.60%EV -8.24%E -3.90%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.03%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 13:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-16 13:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.17%E -0.571%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-16 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -6.93%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -6.93%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -6.93%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 16:06 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -6.93%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 16:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -6.93%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 16:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -6.93%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -6.93%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -6.93%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -6.93%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 16:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -6.93%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-16 16:36 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -7.80%E -3.68%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.40%E -3.96%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 15:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -11.40%E -3.96%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.84%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.40%E -3.96%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-16 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.40%E -3.96%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-16 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.71%E -4.08%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-16 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.71%E -4.08%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-16 13:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -13.86%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-16 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -13.86%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.84%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -13.86%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -10.84%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.86%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -13.02%E -6.51%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -15.40%E -5.60%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.02%E -6.51%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -15.40%E -5.60%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -13.02%E -6.51%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.46%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.56%EV -15.19%E -7.79%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.98%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-09-16 13:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.96%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 43.32%EV -16.06%E -8.32%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.72%EV -16.33%E -5.02%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -19.40%E -7.40%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.66%EV -15.19%E -7.79%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.59%EV -16.33%E -5.02%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |