L’École des cotes

Waldhof Mannheim v Jahn Regensburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 14:30 UTC

Score final : Waldhof Mannheim 1–0 Jahn Regensburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Prévision 37.81%2.64cote équitable
EV -4.71%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.69%37.88%37.81%38.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.382.382.5245.45%41.95%42.02%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jahn Regensburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.14%2.69cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.43%37.07%37.23%38.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.462.502.6144.44%40.68%40.08%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.05%3.99cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -0.929%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.62%25.05%24.95%26.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.563.503.8532.26%28.08%28.57%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.41%EV -4.71%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.66%E -2.23%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:25
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.41%EV -4.71%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.66%E -2.23%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:24
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.32%EV -5.85%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.56%EV -3.06%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:24
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.929%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:18
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 14:20
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 13:34
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:19
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:19
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 14:05
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 37.60%EV -7.74%E -3.17%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.60%EV -9.37%E -3.84%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 14:25
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 14:25
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 13:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 14:14
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 14:18
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -11.60%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -14.57%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -11.60%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 13:34
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -11.60%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 13:35
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -11.97%E -5.05%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -11.97%E -5.05%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 13:34
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:55
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:55
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:59
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:55
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:55
Suprabets2.38I 42.02%NM 38.19%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.50%EV -7.52%E -3.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.32%EV -10.09%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 14:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.14%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 14:20
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.19%EV -11.14%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.19%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 13:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.03%E -5.67%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.03%E -5.67%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 14:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.03%E -5.67%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 14:19
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.89%EV -13.03%E -5.67%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.89%EV -14.57%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-09 13:34
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.03%E -5.67%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.57%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-09 13:34
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 37.57%EV -14.92%E -6.63%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.57%EV -16.43%E -7.30%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.86%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-09 14:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 36.69%EV -14.92%E -6.63%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.69%EV -16.43%E -7.30%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.63%EV -22.36%E -7.21%K -10.65%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-09 14:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -16.81%E -7.64%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.97%EV -16.43%E -7.30%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.21%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-09 14:23
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-05-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-05-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-05-09 14:20