La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Waldhof Mannheim v Jahn Regensburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Waldhof Mannheim (Local)
Predicción 37.81%2.64momio equitativo
EV -4.71%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.69%37.88%37.81%38.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.382.5245.45%41.95%42.02%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jahn Regensburg (Visitante)
Predicción 37.14%2.69momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.43%37.07%37.23%38.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.502.6144.44%40.68%40.08%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.05%3.99momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -0.929%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.62%25.05%24.95%26.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.503.8532.26%28.08%28.57%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.41%EV -4.71%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.66%E -2.23%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.41%EV -4.71%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.66%E -2.23%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 14:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.32%EV -5.85%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.56%EV -3.06%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.929%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 14:18 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:19 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.60%EV -7.74%E -3.17%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.60%EV -9.37%E -3.84%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 14:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 14:14 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 14:18 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -11.60%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -14.57%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -11.60%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -11.60%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -11.97%E -5.05%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -11.97%E -5.05%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Suprabets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.19%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.50%EV -7.52%E -3.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.32%EV -10.09%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.14%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.19%EV -11.14%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.19%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.03%E -5.67%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.03%E -5.67%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.03%E -5.67%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 14:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.89%EV -13.03%E -5.67%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.89%EV -14.57%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.03%E -5.67%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.57%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.57%EV -14.92%E -6.63%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.57%EV -16.43%E -7.30%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.86%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-09 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.69%EV -14.92%E -6.63%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.69%EV -16.43%E -7.30%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.63%EV -22.36%E -7.21%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -16.81%E -7.64%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.97%EV -16.43%E -7.30%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.21%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-09 14:23 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |