Language:English
Waldhof Mannheim v FC Ingolstadt 04
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Waldhof Mannheim (Local)
Prediction 51.62%1.94fair odd
EV -5.53%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -6.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.25%51.73%51.65%53.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.751.8360.61%57.34%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit)
Prediction 24.50%4.08fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -0.672%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.33%24.48%24.47%25.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.703.754.0030.30%27.03%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.88%4.19fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.63%23.79%23.88%24.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.793.804.0029.41%26.40%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 51.62%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit): 24.50%; Draw: 23.88%. For FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -2.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.14%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.90%EV -2.75%E -0.693%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.96%EV -5.44%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.59%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -10.59%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -10.59%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.63%E -4.87%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.72%EV -8.63%E -4.87%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -2.02%E -0.504%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-14 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 15:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 15:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 15:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 15:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-14 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-14 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-14 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-14 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -10.17%E -5.85%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -12.24%E -7.20%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-14 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.17%EV -12.24%E -7.20%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 23.42%EV -5.45%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 23.42%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-14 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.70%EV -12.24%E -7.20%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.35%EV -16.71%E -4.92%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.56%EV -12.75%E -7.55%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-14 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -13.27%E -7.90%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -12.84%E -3.52%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-14 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.37%EV -13.79%E -8.26%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-14 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -13.79%E -8.26%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-14 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -13.79%E -8.26%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-14 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.84%EV -14.82%E -8.98%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-14 15:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 50.37%EV -14.82%E -8.98%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -19.16%E -5.81%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.44%EV -18.81%E -5.53%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-10-14 16:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 50.37%EV -14.82%E -8.98%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -19.16%E -5.81%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.44%EV -18.81%E -5.53%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-10-14 16:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.4% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.4% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.4% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |