La escuela de los momios

Waldhof Mannheim v Erzgebirge Aue

Inicio: 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Predicción 43.17%2.32momio equitativo
EV -4.17%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -3.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.24%43.29%43.13%45.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.082.102.2252.36%48.00%47.62%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Erzgebirge Aue (Visitante)

Predicción 31.02%3.22momio equitativo
EV -0.741%
Ventaja -0.232%
Kelly -0.337%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.19%30.85%31.09%31.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.953.2036.36%34.10%33.90%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.81%3.87momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.571%
Kelly -0.775%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.65%25.85%25.78%27.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.603.7933.33%28.49%27.78%26.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -4.46%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 12:14
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -4.46%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 12:15
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.33%E -2.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:19
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.74%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.14%EV -2.16%E -0.571%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 12:50
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.56%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 12:15
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.56%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 12:15
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 12:15
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.07%EV -8.05%E -3.78%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -8.36%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -3.20%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 12:15
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 12:20
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:33
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:15
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:10
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 12:14
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 12:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 12:15
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 12:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 12:15
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -10.21%E -4.91%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 12:25
Suprabets2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -10.21%E -4.91%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47%EV -7.84%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:45
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -0.741%E -0.232%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 12:15
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -13.67%E -6.83%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 12:35
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -13.67%E -6.83%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.16%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-21 12:34
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.05%EV -15.82%E -8.12%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 29.93%EV -10.98%E -3.82%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-21 12:34
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 43.81%EV -15.82%E -8.12%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.06%EV -14.70%E -5.35%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-21 12:14
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 43.10%EV -16.69%E -8.65%K -17.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.25%EV -14.70%E -5.35%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -19.46%E -6.24%K -9.18%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-21 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 42.90%EV -17.55%E -9.19%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 29.79%EV -14.70%E -5.35%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.31%EV -22.56%E -7.52%K -11.28%G +0.000%22.1%2026-03-21 12:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-03-21 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-03-21 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-03-21 12:40