L’École des cotes

VfB Stuttgart II v VfL Osnabrück

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Score final : VfB Stuttgart II 3–4 VfL Osnabrück

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfB Stuttgart II (Local)

Prévision 25.32%3.95cote équitable
EV +3.79%
Avantage +0.925%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.79%25.04%25.53%26.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.123.643.604.1032.05%27.44%27.78%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VfL Osnabrück (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.02%1.92cote équitable
EV -5.33%
Avantage -2.93%
Kelly -6.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.25%52.36%51.63%54.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.751.751.8260.24%57.19%57.14%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.67%4.41cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -0.426%
Kelly -0.554%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.38%22.59%22.84%24.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.913.904.3328.57%25.57%25.64%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV +3.79%E +0.925%K +1.22%G +0.046%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.79%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:25
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -11.05%E -6.46%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -2.53%E -0.588%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:25
LowVig.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -11.05%E -6.46%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -2.53%E -0.588%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.34%EV -1.52%E -0.392%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -1.85%E -0.426%K -0.554%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 11:25
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:49
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -9.49%E -5.45%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.59%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 11:25
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -9.49%E -5.45%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.59%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -9.49%E -5.45%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.59%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 10:49
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 10:50
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 10:50
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 10:49
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 10:50
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 10:50
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -13.13%E -7.86%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.58%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -11.59%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 11:24
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -5.33%E -2.93%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 10:49
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -1.85%E -0.426%K -0.554%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:20
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:25
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -9.49%E -5.45%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.33%E -2.93%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 10:49
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.62%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.46%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 10:55
Suprabets3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.87%EV -9.78%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 10:50
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 11:20
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 11:20
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 11:20
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.33%EV -13.65%E -8.22%K -20.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 25.35%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.70%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -18.39%E -5.11%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 11:25
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -17.73%E -5.45%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -13.13%E -7.86%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-16 11:24
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 26.83%EV -21.02%E -6.74%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.25%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.92%EV -20.66%E -5.90%K -8.26%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-16 11:23
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-05-16 11:25