La escuela de los momiosVfB Stuttgart II v VfL Osnabrück
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
VfB Stuttgart II (Local)
Predicción 25.32%3.95momio equitativo
EV +3.79%
Ventaja +0.925%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.79%25.04%25.53%26.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.123.643.604.1032.05%27.44%27.78%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
VfL Osnabrück (Visitante)
Predicción 52.02%1.92momio equitativo
EV -5.33%
Ventaja -2.93%
Kelly -6.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.25%52.36%51.63%54.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.751.751.8260.24%57.19%57.14%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.67%4.41momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.426%
Kelly -0.554%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.38%22.59%22.84%24.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.913.904.3328.57%25.57%25.64%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV +3.79%E +0.925%K +1.22%G +0.046% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.79%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -11.05%E -6.46%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -2.53%E -0.588%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -11.05%E -6.46%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -2.53%E -0.588%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.34%EV -1.52%E -0.392%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -1.85%E -0.426%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -9.49%E -5.45%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.59%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -9.49%E -5.45%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.59%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -9.49%E -5.45%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.59%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 10:49 |
| Casumo | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.99%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -13.13%E -7.86%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Bovada | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.58%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -11.59%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -5.33%E -2.93%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 10:49 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -1.85%E -0.426%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -9.49%E -5.45%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.33%E -2.93%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 10:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.62%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.46%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Suprabets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.87%EV -9.78%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.33%EV -13.65%E -8.22%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.35%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.70%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -18.39%E -5.11%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -17.73%E -5.45%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -13.13%E -7.86%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Bet Victor | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.83%EV -21.02%E -6.74%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.25%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.92%EV -20.66%E -5.90%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-16 11:23 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |