La scuola delle quote

VfB Stuttgart II v TSG Hoffenheim II

Inizio: 2026-03-15 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

VfB Stuttgart II (Casa)

Previsione 37.07%2.70quota equa
EV +1.93%
Vantaggio +0.702%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.98%37.04%37.05%40.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.232.412.452.7544.84%41.43%40.82%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

TSG Hoffenheim II (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.23%2.62quota equa
EV +3.22%
Vantaggio +1.19%
Kelly +1.89%
Crescita +0.061%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.66%38.43%38.21%42.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.422.382.7047.62%41.26%42.11%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.71%4.05quota equa
EV +5.00%
Vantaggio +1.18%
Kelly +1.54%
Crescita +0.077%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.68%24.53%24.74%27.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.623.554.2533.33%27.65%28.17%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV +1.93%E +0.702%K +1.10%G +0.021%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.27%EV -12.84%E -5.63%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV +5.00%E +1.18%K +1.54%G +0.077%3.8%2026-03-15 12:25
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV +1.93%E +0.702%K +1.10%G +0.021%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.27%EV -12.84%E -5.63%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV +5.00%E +1.18%K +1.54%G +0.077%3.8%2026-03-15 12:25
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 12:25
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 12:25
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.19%EV -12.90%E -5.49%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.19%EV -10.16%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 12:25
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.39%EV -2.52%E -0.988%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.36%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:25
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -7.34%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -5.48%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -14.01%E -6.04%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -2.52%E -0.988%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 12:05
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -7.34%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 12:25
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -3.63%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.82%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 12:25
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.34%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 12:25
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.89%EV -17.34%E -7.78%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV +3.22%E +1.19%K +1.89%G +0.061%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 12:05
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Suprabets2.49I 40.16%NM 36.51%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:25
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.75%EV -17.34%E -7.78%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +3.22%E +1.19%K +1.89%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:05
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.75%EV -17.34%E -7.78%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +3.22%E +1.19%K +1.89%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:05
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.75%EV -17.34%E -7.78%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +3.22%E +1.19%K +1.89%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:05
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 40.75%EV -17.34%E -7.78%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +3.22%E +1.19%K +1.89%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:05
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.75%EV -17.34%E -7.78%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +3.22%E +1.19%K +1.89%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.75%EV -17.34%E -7.78%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +3.22%E +1.19%K +1.89%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:05
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.75%EV -17.34%E -7.78%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +3.22%E +1.19%K +1.89%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:05
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 40.75%EV -17.34%E -7.78%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +3.22%E +1.19%K +1.89%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:05
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.75%EV -17.34%E -7.78%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +3.22%E +1.19%K +1.89%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:10
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 40.75%EV -17.34%E -7.78%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +3.22%E +1.19%K +1.89%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:10
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -3.63%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.84%E -5.63%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 12:25
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -7.34%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 12:25
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -7.34%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 12:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -7.34%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 12:25
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.54%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.58%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 12:25
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 35.88%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.72%EV -17.81%E -8.28%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.40%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.28%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-15 12:25
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 35.03%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.70%EV -19.72%E -9.39%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -18.47%E -5.60%K -8.03%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -11.04%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -19.72%E -9.39%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -25.88%E -8.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%22.6%2026-03-15 12:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%0.9%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-03-15 12:25