The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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VfB Stuttgart II v SC Preußen Münster

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 11:30 UTC

Final: VfB Stuttgart II 1–2 SC Preußen Münster

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart II (Local)

Prediction 36.70%2.72fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.43%36.74%36.54%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.68%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Preußen Münster (Visit)

Prediction 37.54%2.66fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%37.60%37.65%38.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.5344.44%41.50%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.414%
Kelly -0.560%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%25.66%25.82%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.513.503.8232.05%28.51%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfB Stuttgart II (Local): 36.70%; SC Preußen Münster (Visit): 37.54%; Draw: 25.76%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.82, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.42%EV -5.32%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.51%EV -8.41%E -3.45%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.38%E -0.902%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.42%EV -5.32%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.51%EV -8.41%E -3.45%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.38%E -0.902%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.38%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.67%EV -5.03%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -1.58%E -0.414%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 10:41
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:41
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.68%EV -8.41%E -3.45%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 10:41
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:25
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 11:20
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -11.11%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 11:05
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 10:41
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 10:55
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 10:55
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:10
Suprabets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 24.99%EV -6.22%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 11:24
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 11:05
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.98%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 11:15
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 36.91%EV -10.45%E -4.28%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.37%EV -9.54%E -3.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 11:20
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -10.82%E -4.45%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:55
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -10.82%E -4.45%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:55
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -10.82%E -4.45%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -10.82%E -4.45%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -10.82%E -4.45%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -10.82%E -4.45%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:55
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -10.82%E -4.45%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -10.82%E -4.45%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -10.82%E -4.45%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -6.91%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -3.38%E -0.902%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 11:00
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 10:41
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -14.98%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-13 11:05
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -10.66%E -4.48%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -17.55%E -5.49%K -7.98%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-13 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.61%EV -13.76%E -5.85%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -10.66%E -4.48%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 10:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.05%EV -15.59%E -6.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.88%EV -15.54%E -6.91%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.07%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-13 11:25
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.24%EV -15.59%E -6.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.05%EV -15.54%E -6.91%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.72%EV -19.62%E -6.29%K -9.25%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-13 11:03
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.24%EV -15.59%E -6.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.05%EV -15.54%E -6.91%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.72%EV -19.62%E -6.29%K -9.25%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-13 11:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-09-13 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.69%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 11:25