L’École des cotes

VfB Stuttgart II v Jahn Regensburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfB Stuttgart II (Local)

Prévision 42.56%2.35cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.93%42.65%42.53%43.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.142.2650.00%46.71%46.73%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jahn Regensburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.15%3.11cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.19%32.13%32.15%33.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.792.803.0038.46%35.83%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.29%3.95cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.689%
Kelly -0.931%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.39%25.22%25.32%27.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.593.653.8533.33%27.85%27.40%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 14:20
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 14:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -6.37%E -2.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 14:19
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.37%E -2.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 14:20
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.37%E -2.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 14:09
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -6.37%E -2.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 14:16
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.37%E -2.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.37%E -2.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 14:14
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.37%E -2.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.37%E -2.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 14:14
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 43.50%EV -6.79%E -3.10%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -2.65%E -0.689%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 14:20
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%EV -7.64%E -3.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 14:25
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 14:20
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:20
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 14:00
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -9.77%E -4.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 14:20
Suprabets2.11I 47.39%NM 43.09%EV -10.20%E -4.83%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.79%EV -8.04%E -2.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.12%EV -8.47%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 14:21
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 14:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 14:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 14:25
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 14:25
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 14:25
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -15.43%E -5.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-04 14:09
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -12.75%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -15.75%E -6.01%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-04 14:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -14.88%E -7.44%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -15.75%E -6.01%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 14:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -14.88%E -7.44%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.13%EV -16.40%E -6.31%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%EV -19.09%E -5.96%K -8.68%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-04 14:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.05%EV -14.88%E -7.44%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -16.40%E -6.31%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.37%EV -24.14%E -8.05%K -12.07%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-04 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%1.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-04-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-04-04 14:20