Language:English
VfB Stuttgart II v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart II (Local)
Prediction 35.82%2.79fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.50%35.84%35.83%38.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.482.502.7445.45%40.33%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)
Prediction 39.43%2.54fair odd
EV +0.540%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.348%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.96%39.44%39.50%41.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.302.5546.51%42.43%43.48%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.75%4.04fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.633%
Kelly -0.848%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.79%24.71%24.67%25.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.603.553.9430.30%27.77%28.17%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfB Stuttgart II (Local): 35.82%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 39.43%; Draw: 24.75%. For FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.540%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV +0.540%E +0.212%K +0.348%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV +0.540%E +0.212%K +0.348%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV +0.540%E +0.212%K +0.348%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV +0.540%E +0.212%K +0.348%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV +0.540%E +0.212%K +0.348%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV +0.540%E +0.212%K +0.348%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV +0.540%E +0.212%K +0.348%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV +0.540%E +0.212%K +0.348%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV +0.540%E +0.212%K +0.348%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.18%EV -16.89%E -7.28%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -14.62%E -4.24%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.50%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%EV -7.74%E -3.31%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -1.84%E -0.671%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.06%EV -8.53%E -3.68%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.18%EV -2.49%E -0.633%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -8.53%E -3.68%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -8.53%E -3.68%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.15%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -14.74%E -6.19%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.89%EV -17.60%E -7.65%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.89%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -17.60%E -7.65%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.89%EV -9.36%E -3.70%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.83%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.28%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 17:22 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.63%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 17:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -21.19%E -9.63%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.97%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.21%EV -18.33%E -5.56%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.97%EV -19.39%E -8.62%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.21%EV -18.33%E -5.56%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-08-16 17:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.67%EV -17.60%E -7.65%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.23%EV -15.23%E -7.08%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.10%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |