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VfB Stuttgart II v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

2026-08-16 17:30 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart II (Local)

Prediction 45.58%2.19fair odd
EV -6.57%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -6.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.68%45.50%45.58%46.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.941.981.962.0551.55%50.41%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)

Prediction 29.77%3.36fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.34%29.86%29.77%30.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.013.003.1935.09%33.19%33.33%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.65%4.06fair odd
EV -6.07%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.72%24.64%24.65%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.703.8128.57%27.18%27.03%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VfB Stuttgart II (Local): 45.58%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 29.77%; Draw: 24.65%. For FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.19, with an expected value of -5.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 21:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 18:40
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.10%EV -7.48%E -3.68%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.34%EV -5.04%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.56%EV -6.07%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 21:00
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 20:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.95%EV -10.67%E -5.44%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -15.16%E -5.32%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -10.02%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 18:50
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 18:48
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -11.58%E -5.97%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 18:50
Suprabets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.63%EV -11.58%E -5.97%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 24.86%EV -12.23%E -3.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.