L’École des cotes

VfB Stuttgart II v FC Energie Cottbus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfB Stuttgart II (Local)

Prévision 38.49%2.60cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.577%
Kelly -0.946%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.62%38.53%38.46%39.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.372.402.5646.51%42.19%41.67%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Energie Cottbus (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.60%2.81cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.53%35.58%35.68%36.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.61%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.92%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -0.749%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%25.89%25.86%26.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.543.603.7531.25%28.28%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -1.48%E -0.577%K -0.946%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.35%EV -5.67%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 17:35
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -1.48%E -0.577%K -0.946%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.35%EV -5.67%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 17:35
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 38.80%EV -5.32%E -2.16%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.75%EV -4.96%E -1.86%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 17:50
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.89%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 17:55
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.45%E -2.86%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 10:45
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -9.23%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 10:45
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.09%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.86%EV -11.72%E -4.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 17:25
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.72%E -4.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.72%E -4.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.72%E -4.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.72%E -4.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.72%E -4.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.72%E -4.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.72%E -4.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.72%E -4.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.72%E -4.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.72%E -4.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.01%E -4.40%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 17:35
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.31%EV -8.02%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.90%EV -9.23%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 10:45
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.45%E -2.86%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 17:41
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.56%E -4.07%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -7.45%E -2.86%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 17:45
Suprabets2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65%EV -9.56%E -4.07%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.05%EV -10.30%E -4.09%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.30%EV -6.96%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 17:42
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.56%E -4.07%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.23%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 17:40
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -9.56%E -4.07%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -11.01%E -4.40%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-03 17:45
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.23%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-03 17:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -7.45%E -2.86%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-03 17:45
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -11.01%E -4.40%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-03 17:40
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -11.01%E -4.40%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-03 17:40
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -11.01%E -4.40%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-03 17:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -12.79%E -5.22%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-03 17:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 38.59%EV -15.33%E -6.97%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -15.28%E -6.42%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.73%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-03 14:05
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 38.83%EV -17.26%E -8.03%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.08%EV -15.28%E -6.42%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.09%EV -17.06%E -5.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-03 17:43
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.97%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.91%0.2%2026-03-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.97%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.91%0.2%2026-03-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-03 17:50