Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

TSV Havelse v Waldhof Mannheim

Início: 2026-08-30 14:30 UTC

Final: TSV Havelse 3–2 Waldhof Mannheim

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Previsão 21.92%4.56odd justa
EV +0.819%
Vantagem +0.178%
Kelly +0.227%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.32%21.86%22.01%24.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.504.074.104.6028.57%24.54%24.39%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Waldhof Mannheim (Visitante)

Previsão 56.31%1.78odd justa
EV -5.40%
Vantagem -3.21%
Kelly -7.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.24%56.46%56.09%58.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.33%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.77%4.59odd justa
EV -0.503%
Vantagem -0.110%
Kelly -0.141%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.33%21.68%21.90%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.044.004.5727.78%24.72%25.00%21.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: TSV Havelse (Local): 21.92%; Waldhof Mannheim (Visitante): 56.31%; Empate: 21.77%. Para TSV Havelse (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.56. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.819%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +0.819%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.20%E -0.956%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:20
Pinnacle🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.37%EV -2.69%E -0.605%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.86%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.76%EV -0.503%E -0.110%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.03%E -0.451%K -0.579%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.03%E -0.451%K -0.579%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 14:25
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:15
Suprabets🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.20%EV -10.47%E -6.58%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:16
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:15
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -10.47%E -6.58%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:24
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:23
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:25
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -4.20%E -0.956%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:15
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.74%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -10.74%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 14:20
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.25%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.51%EV -11.82%E -2.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:15
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.25%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.51%EV -11.82%E -2.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.63%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -10.74%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:25
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -2.03%E -0.451%K -0.579%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 14:15
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.45%EV -8.21%E -5.04%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -17.27%E -4.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 14:20
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.18%EV -12.15%E -7.79%K -21.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-30 14:25
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 14:24
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -17.27%E -4.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-30 14:25
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -15.62%E -4.06%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -10.74%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 14:20
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.10%E -5.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 53.73%EV -12.72%E -8.20%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.62%E -6.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-30 14:19
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.10%E -5.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 53.73%EV -12.72%E -8.20%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.62%E -6.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-30 14:18
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.34%EV -23.29%E -6.65%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.24%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.42%EV -17.27%E -4.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-30 14:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-08-30 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-08-30 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%2.3%2026-08-30 14:25