Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

TSV Havelse v Waldhof Mannheim

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 14:30 UTC

Score final : TSV Havelse 3–2 Waldhof Mannheim

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prévision 21.92%4.56cote équitable
EV +0.819%
Avantage +0.178%
Kelly +0.227%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.32%21.86%22.01%24.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.504.074.104.6028.57%24.54%24.39%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Waldhof Mannheim (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.31%1.78cote équitable
EV -5.40%
Avantage -3.21%
Kelly -7.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.24%56.46%56.09%58.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.33%61.73%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.77%4.59cote équitable
EV -0.503%
Avantage -0.110%
Kelly -0.141%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.33%21.68%21.90%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.044.004.5727.78%24.72%25.00%21.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : TSV Havelse (Local) : 21.92% ; Waldhof Mannheim (Visiteur) : 56.31% ; Match nul : 21.77%. Pour TSV Havelse (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.56. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.60, soit une espérance positive de +0.819%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +0.819%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.20%E -0.956%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:20
Pinnacle🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.37%EV -2.69%E -0.605%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.86%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.76%EV -0.503%E -0.110%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.03%E -0.451%K -0.579%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.03%E -0.451%K -0.579%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 14:25
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:15
Suprabets🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.20%EV -10.47%E -6.58%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:16
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:15
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -10.47%E -6.58%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:24
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:23
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:25
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -4.20%E -0.956%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:15
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.74%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -10.74%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 14:20
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:20
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.25%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.51%EV -11.82%E -2.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:15
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.25%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.51%EV -11.82%E -2.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.63%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -10.74%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:25
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -2.03%E -0.451%K -0.579%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 14:15
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.45%EV -8.21%E -5.04%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -17.27%E -4.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 14:20
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.18%EV -12.15%E -7.79%K -21.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-30 14:25
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 14:24
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -17.27%E -4.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-30 14:25
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -15.62%E -4.06%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -10.74%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 14:20
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.10%E -5.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 53.73%EV -12.72%E -8.20%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.62%E -6.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-30 14:19
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.10%E -5.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 53.73%EV -12.72%E -8.20%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.62%E -6.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-30 14:18
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.34%EV -23.29%E -6.65%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.24%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.42%EV -17.27%E -4.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-30 14:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-08-30 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-08-30 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%2.3%2026-08-30 14:25