Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Havelse v FC Würzburger Kickers

Kickoff: 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC

Final: TSV Havelse 2–2 FC Würzburger Kickers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prediction 33.63%2.97fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.38%33.79%33.56%36.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.8740.00%37.17%37.04%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit)

Prediction 41.23%2.43fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.78%41.24%41.44%42.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.222.252.3050.00%45.05%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.14%3.98fair odd
EV +0.546%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.182%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.84%24.97%25.00%26.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.543.504.0032.05%28.25%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Havelse (Local): 33.63%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit): 41.23%; Draw: 25.14%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.546%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -15.92%E -6.37%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV +0.546%E +0.137%K +0.182%G +0.001%9.4%2026-10-13 16:54
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.68%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.16%EV -0.962%E -0.244%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.04%EV -7.18%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -6.82%E -3.02%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-13 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.04%EV -7.18%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -6.82%E -3.02%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -4.15%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -9.29%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-13 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-13 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-13 16:54
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -12.56%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-13 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -12.56%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-13 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -12.56%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-13 16:54
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-13 16:34
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -12.56%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -15.48%E -7.55%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-13 16:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.83%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.46%EV -8.88%E -4.02%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.29%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-13 16:54
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-13 16:43
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.46%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.68%EV -11.52%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-13 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.19%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-13 16:39
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -8.52%E -3.13%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-13 16:54
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -8.52%E -3.13%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-13 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.29%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-13 16:34
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.29%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-13 16:54
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -11.88%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.29%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-13 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.56%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -9.29%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-13 16:49
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-13 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-13 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-13 16:40
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-13 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.56%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.25%EV -14.24%E -5.58%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.06%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-13 14:03
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -15.92%E -6.37%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.82%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -17.05%E -5.17%K -7.41%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-13 11:43
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.55%EV -14.24%E -5.58%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.51%EV -17.54%E -8.77%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.94%EV -19.56%E -6.11%K -8.89%G +0.000%20.5%2026-10-13 16:38
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.67%EV -14.24%E -5.58%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.63%EV -15.48%E -7.55%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.70%EV -21.57%E -6.91%K -10.18%G +0.000%20.0%2026-10-13 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.41%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%1.6%2026-10-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.41%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%1.6%2026-10-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.41%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%1.6%2026-10-13 16:55