The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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TSV Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 13:00 UTC

Final: TSV Havelse 1–1 FC Ingolstadt 04

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prediction 25.27%3.96fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.272%
Kelly +0.362%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%25.20%25.16%27.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.553.554.0032.26%28.15%28.17%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit)

Prediction 51.61%1.94fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.48%51.71%51.76%54.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.761.8760.61%56.65%56.82%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.12%4.32fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.533%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.05%23.09%23.08%24.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.893.904.2528.57%25.73%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Havelse (Local): 25.27%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit): 51.61%; Draw: 23.12%. For TSV Havelse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV +1.09%E +0.272%K +0.362%G +0.004%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -11.24%E -6.53%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -2.89%E -0.688%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 12:35
Pinnacle🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.36%EV -0.935%E -0.238%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.06%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.58%EV -2.20%E -0.519%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95%EV -8.66%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -1.73%E -0.408%K -0.533%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95%EV -8.66%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -1.73%E -0.408%K -0.533%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:35
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -8.14%E -4.57%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 12:40
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -6.49%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.27%EV -8.66%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:35
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:35
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:35
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:35
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 12:35
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.34%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.90%EV -12.60%E -3.33%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-30 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.43%EV -5.04%E -2.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 12:35
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 12:35
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -11.75%E -6.87%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 12:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 12:40
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 12:35
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 12:45
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -8.66%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.23%EV -12.27%E -7.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 12:35
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -3.50%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 12:35
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.72%E -6.20%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 12:40
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 12:55
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-31 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-31 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-31 12:35
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 04:15
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 04:15
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 04:15
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.72%E -6.20%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 12:55
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -17.87%E -5.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 50.53%EV -14.85%E -9.00%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.82%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%19.9%2026-10-31 12:54
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -17.87%E -5.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 50.53%EV -14.85%E -9.00%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.82%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%19.9%2026-10-31 12:53
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -19.13%E -5.98%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -16.76%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-31 10:24
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -21.66%E -6.99%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.11%EV -12.27%E -7.22%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.42%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%17.4%2026-10-31 06:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-10-31 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-10-31 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-10-31 12:55

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