The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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TSV Havelse v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 12:32 UTC

Final: TSV Havelse 3–2 1. FC Saarbrücken

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prediction 21.61%4.63fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -0.909%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.50%21.68%21.52%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.154.204.4427.03%24.10%23.81%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit)

Prediction 56.73%1.76fair odd
EV -5.27%
Edge -3.15%
Kelly -7.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.39%56.68%56.66%57.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.621.6766.67%62.10%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.66%4.62fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.222%
Kelly -0.284%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.76%21.64%21.82%23.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.104.104.5727.78%24.40%24.39%21.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Havelse (Local): 21.61%; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit): 56.73%; Draw: 21.66%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.57, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.37%EV -4.04%E -0.909%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.86%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.76%EV -1.01%E -0.222%K -0.284%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -5.98%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.94%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 12:26
1xBet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.29%EV -10.37%E -6.56%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.81%EV -10.11%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-25 12:25
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.06%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.06%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 12:26
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.06%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 12:25
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.06%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 12:25
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -7.06%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -10.11%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 12:25
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -7.06%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -10.11%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 12:26
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 12:25
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -7.54%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 12:25
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 13:20
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 13:20
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 13:20
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 13:20
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-20 11:04
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-20 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-20 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-20 11:04
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-25 12:25
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -11.51%E -7.38%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 12:25
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.41%EV -14.91%E -9.94%K -29.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-25 12:03
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.39%E -2.78%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.54%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 12:26
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -11.39%E -2.78%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-25 12:25
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -8.67%E -5.39%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 12:25
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-25 12:25
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-25 12:25
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -8.67%E -5.39%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -8.67%E -5.39%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -8.67%E -5.39%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 12:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-25 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-20 13:20
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -15.71%E -4.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.71%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-25 12:25
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -17.87%E -4.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.02%EV -13.21%E -8.63%K -24.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-25 12:26
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -20.03%E -5.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.39%EV -13.21%E -8.63%K -24.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -22.02%E -6.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-25 12:24
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -20.03%E -5.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.39%EV -13.21%E -8.63%K -24.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -22.02%E -6.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-25 12:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%0.4%2026-10-25 12:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-10-25 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-10-25 12:25