L’École des cotes

TSV 1860 München v Hansa Rostock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TSV 1860 München (Local)

Prévision 33.28%3.00cote équitable
EV -0.148%
Avantage -0.049%
Kelly -0.074%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.36%33.36%33.27%35.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.792.783.0040.00%35.83%35.97%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hansa Rostock (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.18%2.49cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.51%40.12%40.19%43.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.212.252.4048.31%45.27%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.53%3.77cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.565%
Kelly -0.775%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.65%26.52%26.54%28.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.453.503.6934.72%28.99%28.57%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.87%EV -16.42%E -7.90%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:59
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:59
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:59
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:59
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.14%E -1.80%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.86%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 11:15
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.14%E -1.80%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.86%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 11:15
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.14%E -1.80%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 12:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.14%E -1.80%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 11:59
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 33.99%EV -6.47%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.13%EV -4.37%E -1.84%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.88%EV -2.09%E -0.565%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 11:15
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.80%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 05:35
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.80%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.80%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:59
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -7.47%E -2.69%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.39%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -7.47%E -2.69%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.39%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.47%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -8.39%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 00:34
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.47%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.47%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:39
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.47%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 11:59
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.13%E -3.75%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -10.13%E -3.75%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-20 05:34
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -10.13%E -3.75%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.76%E -4.23%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-22 12:00
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -10.13%E -3.75%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -17.74%E -5.72%K -8.45%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-22 11:59
Suprabets2.67I 37.45%NM 34.07%EV -11.13%E -4.17%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.72%EV -7.99%E -3.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.21%EV -7.92%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 11:12
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.46%E -4.74%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.46%E -4.74%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -12.46%E -4.74%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -23.58%E -8.19%K -12.54%G +0.000%20.4%2026-02-22 12:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.80%E -4.88%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 11:59
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.80%E -4.88%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.80%E -4.88%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 11:14
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -15.13%E -5.93%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 12:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -16.79%E -6.72%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 12:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -16.79%E -6.72%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 12:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -16.79%E -6.72%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.82%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.55%1.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.55%1.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.55%1.8%2026-02-22 12:00