La escuela de los momios

TSV 1860 München v Hansa Rostock

Inicio: 2026-02-22 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

TSV 1860 München (Local)

Predicción 33.28%3.00momio equitativo
EV -0.148%
Ventaja -0.049%
Kelly -0.074%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.36%33.36%33.27%35.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.792.783.0040.00%35.83%35.97%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hansa Rostock (Visitante)

Predicción 40.18%2.49momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -2.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.51%40.12%40.19%43.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.212.252.4048.31%45.27%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.53%3.77momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.565%
Kelly -0.775%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.65%26.52%26.54%28.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.453.503.6934.72%28.99%28.57%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.87%EV -16.42%E -7.90%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:59
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:59
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:59
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -0.148%E -0.049%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -16.83%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:59
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.14%E -1.80%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.86%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 11:15
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.14%E -1.80%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.86%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 11:15
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.14%E -1.80%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 12:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.14%E -1.80%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 11:59
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 33.99%EV -6.47%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.13%EV -4.37%E -1.84%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.88%EV -2.09%E -0.565%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 11:15
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.80%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 05:35
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.80%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.80%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:59
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -7.47%E -2.69%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.39%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -7.47%E -2.69%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.39%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.47%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -8.39%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 00:34
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.47%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.47%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:39
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.47%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 11:59
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.13%E -3.75%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -10.13%E -3.75%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-20 05:34
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -10.13%E -3.75%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.76%E -4.23%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-22 12:00
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -10.13%E -3.75%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -17.74%E -5.72%K -8.45%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-22 11:59
Suprabets2.67I 37.45%NM 34.07%EV -11.13%E -4.17%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.72%EV -7.99%E -3.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.21%EV -7.92%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 11:12
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.46%E -4.74%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.46%E -4.74%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -12.46%E -4.74%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -23.58%E -8.19%K -12.54%G +0.000%20.4%2026-02-22 12:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.80%E -4.88%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 11:59
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.80%E -4.88%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.80%E -4.88%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 11:14
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -15.13%E -5.93%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 12:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -16.79%E -6.72%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 12:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -16.79%E -6.72%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 12:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -16.79%E -6.72%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.82%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.55%1.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.55%1.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.55%1.8%2026-02-22 12:00