Language:English
TSG Hoffenheim II v SV Meppen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)
Prediction 46.61%2.15fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.03%46.71%46.51%48.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.962.0854.64%50.65%51.15%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SV Meppen (Visit)
Prediction 29.57%3.38fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.29%29.47%29.64%31.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.003.3035.71%33.15%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.83%4.20fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.03%23.82%23.85%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.704.0029.41%27.02%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSG Hoffenheim II (Local): 46.61%; SV Meppen (Visit): 29.57%; Draw: 23.83%. For SV Meppen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -2.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 17:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 17:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-17 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -14.84%E -5.15%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-16 17:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -14.25%E -4.91%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -17.80%E -5.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-16 17:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.26%EV -7.26%E -3.65%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 12:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.26%EV -7.26%E -3.65%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.56%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-17 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.71%EV -8.65%E -4.41%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.86%EV -4.20%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.43%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.87%EV -8.65%E -4.41%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -12.77%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-17 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 06:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.54%EV -12.32%E -3.35%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-17 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-18 06:57 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-18 06:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-18 06:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-18 06:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-18 06:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-17 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-17 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-17 17:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -10.05%E -5.21%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.42%E -0.734%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -10.98%E -5.75%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.98%E -5.75%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-17 17:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.68%EV -10.98%E -5.75%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -14.25%E -4.91%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-17 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.88%EV -11.45%E -6.03%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-17 17:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 29.14%EV -10.11%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.75%EV -11.13%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-17 18:07 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.26%EV -14.71%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.23%EV -17.21%E -6.15%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.51%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-09-17 17:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.62%EV -14.71%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -17.21%E -6.15%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -18.99%E -5.59%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-09-18 01:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.62%EV -14.71%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -17.21%E -6.15%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -18.99%E -5.59%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-09-18 01:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |