A Escola das Odds

TSG Hoffenheim II v Rot-Weiss Essen

Início: 2026-03-07 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)

Previsão 32.94%3.04odd justa
EV -4.46%
Vantagem -1.54%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.91%32.91%33.00%35.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.762.802.9041.67%36.27%35.71%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visitante)

Previsão 42.17%2.37odd justa
EV -5.11%
Vantagem -2.27%
Kelly -4.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.54%42.17%42.08%43.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.172.2550.00%46.56%46.08%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.88%4.02odd justa
EV -1.96%
Vantagem -0.498%
Kelly -0.668%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.73%24.92%24.91%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.613.603.9433.33%27.72%27.78%25.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.98%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.50%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -2.96%E -0.758%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 12:50
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.98%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.50%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -2.96%E -0.758%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 12:49
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.09%EV -5.12%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73%EV -5.95%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.18%EV -1.96%E -0.498%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 12:50
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 12:34
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 12:50
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 12:25
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.09%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.18%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 12:50
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:24
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:24
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:24
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:24
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:24
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:25
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:24
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:30
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:34
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:34
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:34
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:30
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:30
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:30
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:50
Suprabets2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:46
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -11.05%E -4.09%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 12:49
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -11.05%E -4.09%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 12:50
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -12.70%E -4.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.18%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 12:49
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 33.83%EV -13.69%E -5.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.21%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-07 12:50
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -13.69%E -5.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.12%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-07 12:50
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -14.35%E -5.52%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-07 12:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -17.64%E -7.06%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -17.89%E -5.42%K -7.78%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-07 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 32.43%EV -17.64%E -7.06%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 40.54%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.03%EV -25.35%E -8.45%K -12.68%G +0.000%23.3%2026-03-07 12:49
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.59%EV -20.93%E -8.72%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-07 12:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-03-07 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-03-07 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-03-07 12:50