Language:English
TSG Hoffenheim II v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)
Prediction 44.03%2.27fair odd
EV -6.66%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.62%44.36%43.89%47.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.012.052.1254.64%49.75%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)
Prediction 30.42%3.29fair odd
EV +0.393%
Edge +0.119%
Kelly +0.171%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.48%30.19%30.51%30.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.003.3035.71%32.41%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.55%3.91fair odd
EV +0.420%
Edge +0.107%
Kelly +0.143%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.21%25.45%25.60%26.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.563.553.9332.26%28.08%28.17%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSG Hoffenheim II (Local): 44.03%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 30.42%; Draw: 25.55%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.420%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -14.59%E -7.52%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV +0.393%E +0.119%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-22 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -14.59%E -7.52%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV +0.393%E +0.119%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -14.59%E -7.52%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV +0.393%E +0.119%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -14.59%E -7.52%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV +0.393%E +0.119%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.393%E +0.119%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-22 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.393%E +0.119%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-22 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.393%E +0.119%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-22 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.393%E +0.119%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-22 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.393%E +0.119%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-22 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.393%E +0.119%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-22 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.393%E +0.119%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -9.31%E -4.52%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.19%EV -1.43%E -0.442%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.90%E -0.764%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -9.31%E -4.52%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.19%EV -1.43%E -0.442%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.90%E -0.764%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -9.31%E -4.52%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.56%EV -2.04%E -0.634%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.22%EV +0.420%E +0.107%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.75%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -2.65%E -0.828%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 18:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -6.66%E -3.14%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.69%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.18%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.75%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.75%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 18:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -11.07%E -5.48%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-22 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.75%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-22 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.75%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.75%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.75%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.75%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -14.15%E -7.26%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.80%EV -10.63%E -5.24%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.62%EV -9.65%E -3.25%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.75%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-22 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.75%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-22 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.75%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-22 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -14.15%E -7.26%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.08%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -19.43%E -10.62%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -20.79%E -6.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-02-22 14:12 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.35%EV -16.35%E -8.61%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.03%EV -12.69%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -15.91%E -8.33%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -14.82%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-02-22 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |