Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.60
assuming max odds 4.90
assuming max odds 4.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Meppen (Local): 59.60%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 19.64%; Draw: 20.76%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -0.345%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.16%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.22%EV -8.10%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.62%EV -4.70%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-18 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.23%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.73%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 17:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.97%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -17.53%E -4.17%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -17.53%E -4.17%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -17.53%E -4.17%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.06%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.78%E -0.771%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.73%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.00%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.20%EV -12.03%E -2.68%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.80%EV -13.84%E -3.33%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -13.60%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -7.62%E -4.91%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.73%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 17:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -7.62%E -4.91%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.61%EV -7.71%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.16%EV -7.62%E -4.91%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -7.71%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -10.73%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.16%EV -7.62%E -4.91%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -7.71%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -10.73%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 17:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.21%E -5.33%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.67%E -2.10%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-18 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -8.81%E -5.76%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -6.73%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.25%EV -8.81%E -5.76%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -8.81%E -5.76%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-18 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -8.81%E -5.76%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -9.41%E -6.19%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -3.78%E -0.771%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.345%E -0.072%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -9.41%E -6.19%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -9.67%E -2.10%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -10.73%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -10.60%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -4.76%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -10.73%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -10.60%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -10.60%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.60%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.60%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.04%EV -10.60%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.60%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -10.60%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.67%E -2.10%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -10.60%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -17.53%E -4.17%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-10-18 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.51%EV -10.60%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.30%EV -25.38%E -6.68%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.19%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-10-18 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 57.46%EV -13.58%E -9.36%K -30.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.32%EV -19.49%E -4.75%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.22%EV -22.14%E -5.91%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-10-18 17:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 57.46%EV -13.58%E -9.36%K -30.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.32%EV -19.49%E -4.75%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.22%EV -22.14%E -5.91%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-10-18 17:18 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.72% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.69% | 1.6% | 2026-10-18 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.12% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.85% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03% | 1.9% | 2026-10-18 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.27% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95% | 2.3% | 2026-10-18 17:25 |