Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Meppen v SG Sonnenhof Großaspach

2026-08-15 12:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

39%

34%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Meppen (Local)

Prediction 39.34%2.54fair odd

EV -7.55%

Edge -3.21%

Kelly -5.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.34%39.34%39.34%40.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.282.282.3545.45%43.96%43.96%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit)

Prediction 34.24%2.92fair odd

EV -7.55%

Edge -2.79%

Kelly -4.44%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.19%34.24%34.24%34.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.652.652.7038.46%37.74%37.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.42%3.79fair odd

EV -7.55%

Edge -2.16%

Kelly -3.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.40%26.42%26.42%26.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.503.503.503.5028.57%28.57%28.57%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SV Meppen (Local): 39.34%; SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit): 34.24%; Draw: 26.42%. For SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -7.55%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.55%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-09 20:20
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -10.97%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-08-09 20:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.