The School of Odds
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SV Meppen v Jahn Regensburg

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 12:30 UTC

Final: SV Meppen 2–1 Jahn Regensburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Meppen (Local)

Prediction 41.61%2.40fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.07%41.60%41.88%42.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.202.3450.00%45.79%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jahn Regensburg (Visit)

Prediction 34.11%2.93fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -0.979%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.84%34.15%33.80%35.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.8540.00%37.25%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.28%4.12fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.292%
Kelly -0.387%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.25%24.31%25.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.693.654.0728.57%27.08%27.40%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Meppen (Local): 41.61%; Jahn Regensburg (Visit): 34.11%; Draw: 24.28%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.07, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.07%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.25%EV -9.27%E -3.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.17%EV -8.59%E -3.20%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 12:25
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.32%E -4.35%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 00:00
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-08 12:20
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.75%EV -6.79%E -3.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.72%EV -3.13%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.53%EV -1.19%E -0.292%K -0.387%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -2.79%E -0.979%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-08 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-08 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 10:30
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 10:30
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 10:29
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 10:30
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 10:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -10.64%E -4.06%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 12:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.49%EV -10.64%E -4.06%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 12:25
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -13.02%E -5.11%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-08 00:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -14.73%E -5.89%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-08 00:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -9.28%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-08 12:19
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -9.28%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-08 12:20
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -9.28%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-08 12:19
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -7.91%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 12:25
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.80%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 12:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.91%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.91%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.91%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 12:25
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-08 12:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -10.29%E -3.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-03 19:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -10.29%E -3.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-03 19:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -10.64%E -4.06%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-03 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -10.64%E -4.06%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-03 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.32%E -4.35%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-08 12:25
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.32%E -4.35%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-08 12:20
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.44%EV -11.36%E -5.33%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.70%EV -11.14%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.72%EV -11.78%E -5.56%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -13.81%E -3.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-07 10:30
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.03%EV -11.78%E -5.56%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -13.02%E -5.11%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.85%EV -15.03%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-08 12:25
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.45%EV -16.77%E -8.39%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -14.73%E -5.89%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-08 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.04%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-11-08 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.80%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-11-08 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.60%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-11-08 12:25

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